AI

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 3098%
- October 3192%
$1.6M Vol.

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Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202722%

$566.0K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google71%
Anthropic23%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T27%
$1.75–$2.0T25%

$1.5M Vol.

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

October 12>99%
October 21<1%

$85.8K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$691.5K Vol.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T94%
↑$1.75T80%

$5.4M Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

080%
112%

$332.8K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202721%

$743.0K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3196%
October 3176%

$337.4K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.4M Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+77%
50%+73%

$61.1K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202720%

$202.5K Vol.

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1372%
No release by October 3111%

$45.5K Vol.

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3099%
October 3188%

$42.2K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic25%

$28.9K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3180%
October 238%

$41.3K Vol.

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202710%

$3.4M Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3185%
October 3120%

$235.4K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI59%
Google38%

$7.6K Vol.weekly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi43%
Alibaba36%

$201.0K Vol.monthly

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+78%
60%+39%

$139.1K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202657%
December 202620%

$366.6K Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+83%
40%+80%

$40.0K Vol.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

68% to 69%51%
67% to 68%33%

$11.7K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+57%
No IPO by December 31, 202721%

$463.2K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$289.8K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$826.0K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+94%
1420+84%

$46.7K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google70%
Anthropic22%

$75.2K Vol.monthly

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google55%
OpenAI38%

$4.9K Vol.weekly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+76%
1.5–1.8T11%

$514.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic90%
OpenAI6%

$73.3K Vol.monthly

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$155.7K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202620%

$433.1K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3124%
October 1315%

$46.0K Vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202620%
October 31, 20262%

$484.3K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+66%
320%

$22.0K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 143%

$103.5K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202738%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI86%
SpaceXAI5%

$13.7K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3134%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic71%
OpenAI19%

$49.2K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+47%
65%+32%

$101.9K Vol.

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T38%
$2.00–$2.25T36%

$138.4K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other9%

$6.5K Vol.weekly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+42%
45%+33%

$102.2K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek86%
Google5%

$1.8K Vol.weekly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3160%
October 1514%

$22.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5019%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta64%
Xiaomi24%

$60.0K Vol.monthly

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$22.5B67%
↑$25B33%

$76.2K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+56%
1490+44%

$19.1K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+94%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$523.2K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic51%
OpenAI11%

$212.0K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic63%
Google20%

$54.5K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+90%
50%+57%

$6.7K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+30%
1490+28%

$269.5K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic78%
OpenAI13%

$18.3K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI73%
Anthropic9%

$56.0K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T92%
$1.75T85%

$11.8K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO80%
San Diego, CA79%

$62.8K Vol.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+77%
50%+40%

$101.1K Vol.

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3051%
October 3128%

$43.5K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3122%
October 163%

$34.0K Vol.

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T47%
625-675T24%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-745%
8-1028%

$8.9K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2572%
↑ $3057%

$13.5K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic38%
Google35%

$13.9K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google31%
Anthropic30%

$12.2K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3026%
October 3119%

$24.1K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google44%
Moonshot20%

$63.7K Vol.monthly

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3048%
October 3144%

$2.6K Vol.monthly

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202741%
December 31, 20269%

$77.4K Vol.

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3172%
November 3066%

$3.9K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$18.6K Vol.2 months left

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3160%
October 1514%

$24.5K Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3067%
October 3128%

$9.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google53%
Anthropic40%

$267.9K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+84%
1490+80%

$3.7K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google56%
Anthropic41%

$30.7K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $3047%
↓ $4043%

$8.0K Vol.annual

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic42%
Google39%

$73.3K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+83%
60%+44%

$154.6K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google57%
Meta16%

$35.6K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai23%
Google18%

$100.9K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+88%
50%+83%

$110.0K Vol.

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$36.6K Vol.

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1544%
↑ $2534%

$9.9K Vol.

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3136%
October 3114%

$4.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic56%
Google40%

$69.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Anthropic57%
Google32%

$27.7K Vol.monthly

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202668%
Anthropic19%

$133.6K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google42%
Anthropic37%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

27%chance

$10.1K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0059%
↓ $3.7554%

$20.7K Vol.monthly

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+46%
$1.20-$1.30T19%

$9.1K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?

DeepSeek>99%
Tencent<1%

$8.7K Vol.weekly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI84%
Anthropic11%

$37.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0063%
$1.00-$1.2532%

$48.7K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Moonshot22%
Meta21%

$14.3K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI51%
Anthropic25%

$9.2K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+79%
55%+71%

$6.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.0057%
↓ $5.5050%

$54.6K Vol.monthly

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

35%chance

$1.5K Vol.2 months left