Middle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1597%
- October 3181%
$11.5M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1597%
October 3182%

$1.2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.8M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot47%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.8M Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3117%
October 316%

$227.1K Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3148%
November 3041%

$301.0K Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3121%
October 315%

$7.3M Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 316%

$20.2K Vol.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$148.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.7K Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

77%chance

$162.3K Vol.21 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$43.6K Vol.

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 3121%
October 318%

$82.5K Vol.

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 1553%
October 3152%

$11.3K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.0 - 2.5M33%
2.5 - 3.0M27%

$111.6K Vol.monthly

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

December 3112%
October 313%

$5.1K Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3162%
October 1549%

$15.2K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+54%
2.7-2.8M19%

$41.8K Vol.monthly

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela17%
Kuwait8%

$897.9K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1392%
October 1489%

$138.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Tally Gotliv14%

$45.8K Vol.

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3115%
October 1510%

$37.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen14%

$42.0K Vol.

$63.8K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 3116%
October 316%

$2.0K Vol.

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20267%

$109.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Ofer Winter14%

$30.5K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-869%
9-1018%

$10.4K Vol.

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

October 3179%
October 2039%

$1.5K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 1175%
October 2874%

$843.2K Vol.monthly

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1586%

$8.0K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

December 3119%
October 315%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<459%
4-640%

$9.1K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

November 3078%
October 3176%

$9.0K Vol.

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait13%
Yemen10%

$79.0K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%41%
16-18%37%

$5.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2847%
Yoav Ben-Tzur24%

$13.6K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.18 days left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland17%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2330%
26-2721%

$17.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1632%
11-1325%

$6.8K Vol.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3120%
October 1510%

$131.3K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 897%

$63.0K Vol.monthly

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3041%
October 3118%

$84.4K Vol.

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3168%
November 3065%

$39.0K Vol.

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3051%
October 3125%

$17.3K Vol.

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$4.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-930%
10-1128%

$6.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

532%
625%

$9.1K Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

23%chance

$33.5K Vol.2 months left