After the fight battle is fought, The legend of Billy the farmer will live forever.
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50,121 markets traded
+$719,278.07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Se…| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No280,000 shares50¢ → 80.8¢ | 280,000 | 50¢ → 80.8¢ | $226,240.00 +$86,240.00 (+61.6%) |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes280,000 shares50¢ → 19.2¢ |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
| 280,000 |
| 50¢ → 19.2¢ |
$53,760.00 -$86,239.72 (-61.6%) |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes65,242 shares80.9¢ → 67¢ | 65,242 | 80.9¢ → 67¢ | $43,712.11 -$9,100.91 (-17.2%) |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No42,478.4 shares81.6¢ → 87¢ | 42,478.4 | 81.6¢ → 87¢ | $36,956.22 +$2,280.54 (+6.6%) |
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No42,571.7 shares82.5¢ → 67.1¢ | 42,571.7 | 82.5¢ → 67.1¢ | $28,544.31 -$6,569.87 (-18.7%) |
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes34,485.2 shares87.1¢ → 82.5¢ | 34,485.2 | 87.1¢ → 82.5¢ | $28,450.29 -$1,577.59 (-5.3%) |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No32,404.9 shares87.1¢ → 85.5¢ | 32,404.9 | 87.1¢ → 85.5¢ | $27,706.18 -$505.22 (-1.8%) |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No27,407.4 shares83.1¢ → 92.5¢ | 27,407.4 | 83.1¢ → 92.5¢ | $25,351.86 +$2,568.76 (+11.3%) |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No25,132.6 shares55.7¢ → 89.5¢ | 25,132.6 | 55.7¢ → 89.5¢ | $22,493.72 +$8,493.12 (+60.7%) |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No32,930 shares81.9¢ → 59.8¢ | 32,930 | 81.9¢ → 59.8¢ | $19,692.11 -$7,289.47 (-27%) |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No19,025.6 shares92.6¢ → 93.7¢ | 19,025.6 | 92.6¢ → 93.7¢ | $17,826.95 +$207.25 (+1.2%) |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No13,000 shares91.2¢ → 90.5¢ | 13,000 | 91.2¢ → 90.5¢ | $11,765.01 -$87.80 (-0.7%) |
| 13,837.8 | 87.5¢ → 82.5¢ | $11,416.14 -$688.37 (-5.7%) |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes12,000 shares92.5¢ → 90.5¢ | 12,000 | 92.5¢ → 90.5¢ | $10,860.00 -$239.81 (-2.2%) |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes12,231.4 shares52¢ → 87.9¢ | 12,231.4 | 52¢ → 87.9¢ | $10,757.53 +$4,397.74 (+69.1%) |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No11,392 shares83.5¢ → 83.9¢ | 11,392 | 83.5¢ → 83.9¢ | $9,557.91 +$44.22 (+0.5%) |
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? Yes9,522.6 shares87.9¢ → 87.5¢ | 9,522.6 | 87.9¢ → 87.5¢ | $8,332.25 -$36.60 (-0.4%) |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No8,841.5 shares79.9¢ → 94¢ | 8,841.5 | 79.9¢ → 94¢ | $8,311.00 +$1,247.63 (+17.7%) |
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No8,679.1 shares93.3¢ → 92.5¢ | 8,679.1 | 93.3¢ → 92.5¢ | $8,028.17 -$69.75 (-0.9%) |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No9,551.3 shares83¢ → 83.5¢ | 9,551.3 | 83¢ → 83.5¢ | $7,975.36 +$47.76 (+0.6%) |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No8,892.8 shares88.1¢ → 86.5¢ | 8,892.8 | 88.1¢ → 86.5¢ | $7,692.27 -$139.11 (-1.8%) |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No6,986 shares86¢ → 89.5¢ | 6,986 | 86¢ → 89.5¢ | $6,252.50 +$244.01 (+4.1%) |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No7,144.7 shares90.4¢ → 86.5¢ | 7,144.7 | 90.4¢ → 86.5¢ | $6,180.16 -$275.09 (-4.3%) |
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes6,765.8 shares81.8¢ → 75.5¢ | 6,765.8 | 81.8¢ → 75.5¢ | $5,108.18 -$428.84 (-7.7%) |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No9,006.3 shares72.6¢ → 53.5¢ | 9,006.3 | 72.6¢ → 53.5¢ | $4,818.39 -$1,720.05 (-26.3%) |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes6,000 shares65¢ → 61.5¢ | 6,000 | 65¢ → 61.5¢ | $3,689.99 -$209.98 (-5.4%) |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes8,012.6 shares64.3¢ → 43.5¢ | 8,012.6 | 64.3¢ → 43.5¢ | $3,485.47 -$1,666.79 (-32.4%) |
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes7,612.8 shares70.9¢ → 45.5¢ | 7,612.8 | 70.9¢ → 45.5¢ | $3,463.83 -$1,934.82 (-35.8%) |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No4,000 shares91.5¢ → 86¢ | 4,000 | 91.5¢ → 86¢ | $3,440.01 -$220.00 (-6%) |
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No6,419.5 shares76.5¢ → 53.5¢ | 6,419.5 | 76.5¢ → 53.5¢ | $3,434.42 -$1,477.02 (-30.1%) |
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No3,900.2 shares89.9¢ → 84¢ | 3,900.2 | 89.9¢ → 84¢ | $3,276.13 -$230.07 (-6.6%) |
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No3,962.8 shares82.5¢ → 82.5¢ | 3,962.8 | 82.5¢ → 82.5¢ | $3,269.33 -$0.18 (0%) |
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No3,884 shares81.5¢ → 80.5¢ | 3,884 | 81.5¢ → 80.5¢ | $3,126.62 -$38.26 (-1.2%) |
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No3,452.7 shares93.4¢ → 87.5¢ | 3,452.7 | 93.4¢ → 87.5¢ | $3,021.13 -$204.62 (-6.3%) |
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes3,047.5 shares85.3¢ → 88.5¢ | 3,047.5 | 85.3¢ → 88.5¢ | $2,697.07 +$96.50 (+3.7%) |
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes4,950.1 shares75¢ → 54¢ | 4,950.1 | 75¢ → 54¢ | $2,673.04 -$1,039.04 (-28%) |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No3,007.2 shares83.6¢ → 81¢ | 3,007.2 | 83.6¢ → 81¢ | $2,434.30 -$79.97 (-3.2%) |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No3,176.6 shares79.2¢ → 76.5¢ | 3,176.6 | 79.2¢ → 76.5¢ | $2,430.07 -$85.23 (-3.4%) |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No6,634.3 shares46.8¢ → 36.5¢ | 6,634.3 | 46.8¢ → 36.5¢ | $2,421.53 -$685.83 (-22.1%) |
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No3,262.4 shares72.4¢ → 71.5¢ | 3,262.4 | 72.4¢ → 71.5¢ | $2,332.62 -$28.93 (-1.2%) |
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No2,825.7 shares80.9¢ → 78.5¢ | 2,825.7 | 80.9¢ → 78.5¢ | $2,218.21 -$66.72 (-2.9%) |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes3,003 shares79.4¢ → 73.5¢ | 3,003 | 79.4¢ → 73.5¢ | $2,207.20 -$175.88 (-7.4%) |
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No2,900.3 shares85¢ → 76¢ | 2,900.3 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $2,204.21 -$260.09 (-10.6%) |
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No2,666.8 shares88.8¢ → 82.5¢ | 2,666.8 | 88.8¢ → 82.5¢ | $2,200.09 -$167.33 (-7.1%) |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No3,460 shares60¢ → 61.5¢ | 3,460 | 60¢ → 61.5¢ | $2,127.90 +$52.25 (+2.5%) |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No2,600 shares78.3¢ → 76.5¢ | 2,600 | 78.3¢ → 76.5¢ | $1,989.00 -$47.00 (-2.3%) |
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15? No2,000 shares98.8¢ → 98.8¢ | 2,000 | 98.8¢ → 98.8¢ | $1,976.00 $0.00 (0%) |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No2,350 shares85.9¢ → 82¢ | 2,350 | 85.9¢ → 82¢ | $1,927.00 -$90.50 (-4.5%) |
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? No2,465 shares80.8¢ → 75¢ | 2,465 | 80.8¢ → 75¢ | $1,848.75 -$142.56 (-7.2%) |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No3,155.1 shares68.2¢ → 58.5¢ | 3,155.1 | 68.2¢ → 58.5¢ | $1,845.75 -$306.73 (-14.3%) |