$374,487.28
+$172,746.76
$25,246,807.47
102,488 markets traded
+$2,291.64
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31? Yes1,530 shares36.5¢ → 40¢ | 1,530 | 36.5¢ → 40¢ | $612.01 +$52.88 (+9.5%) |
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No939.7 shares71¢ → 61.5¢ | 939.7 | 71¢ → 61.5¢ | $577.89 -$89.27 (-13.4%) |
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft? Yes671.4 shares25.6¢ → 77.5¢ | 671.4 | 25.6¢ → 77.5¢ | $520.35 +$348.24 (+202.3%) |
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? Anduril1,963 shares58.2¢ → 26¢ | 1,963 | 58.2¢ → 26¢ | $510.37 -$632.07 (-55.3%) |
Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election? No962.4 shares38.3¢ → 52¢ | 962.4 | 38.3¢ → 52¢ | $500.45 +$131.88 (+35.8%) |
Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? No1,319.6 shares37.4¢ → 34¢ | 1,319.6 | 37.4¢ → 34¢ | $448.66 -$44.21 (-9%) |
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? No1,813.2 shares24.6¢ → 24.2¢ | 1,813.2 | 24.6¢ → 24.2¢ | $437.88 -$7.81 (-1.8%) |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No392.8 shares89¢ → 92.5¢ | 392.8 | 89¢ → 92.5¢ | $363.36 +$13.75 (+3.9%) |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%? No535.8 shares89¢ → 64.5¢ | 535.8 | 89¢ → 64.5¢ | $345.56 -$131.26 (-27.5%) |
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? No479.3 shares61.2¢ → 69.5¢ | 479.3 | 61.2¢ → 69.5¢ | $332.89 +$39.41 (+13.4%) |
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $45B by October 31? Yes590.9 shares20.1¢ → 56¢ | 590.9 | 20.1¢ → 56¢ | $330.93 +$212.24 (+178.8%) |
Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.55? No773.1 shares29.5¢ → 42¢ | 773.1 | 29.5¢ → 42¢ | $324.69 +$96.21 (+42.1%) |
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No1,273 shares30¢ → 25.5¢ | 1,273 | 30¢ → 25.5¢ | $324.60 -$57.28 (-15%) |
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? No1,905.7 shares28.3¢ → 17¢ | 1,905.7 | 28.3¢ → 17¢ | $323.97 -$214.82 (-39.9%) |
Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes725.7 shares43.6¢ → 43.5¢ | 725.7 | 43.6¢ → 43.5¢ | $315.67 -$0.85 (-0.3%) |
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026? Yes1,233.9 shares25.4¢ → 25.5¢ | 1,233.9 | 25.4¢ → 25.5¢ | $314.65 +$1.31 (+0.4%) |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? No1,490.2 shares36.4¢ → 21¢ | 1,490.2 | 36.4¢ → 21¢ | $312.95 -$229.39 (-42.3%) |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October? Yes735.4 shares58.2¢ → 42.5¢ | 735.4 | 58.2¢ → 42.5¢ | $312.55 -$115.69 (-27%) |
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No381.2 shares67.2¢ → 82¢ | 381.2 | 67.2¢ → 82¢ | $312.42 +$56.13 (+21.9%) |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? No569.7 shares54.7¢ → 54.5¢ | 569.7 | 54.7¢ → 54.5¢ | $310.50 -$0.88 (-0.3%) |
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? No646.2 shares57.1¢ → 48¢ | 646.2 | 57.1¢ → 48¢ | $310.15 -$58.96 (-16%) |
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election? No586.1 shares38.7¢ → 52.5¢ | 586.1 | 38.7¢ → 52.5¢ | $307.72 +$80.68 (+35.5%) |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? Yes1,135.1 shares26.6¢ → 27¢ | 1,135.1 | 26.6¢ → 27¢ | $306.48 +$4.98 (+1.7%) |
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No986.6 shares21¢ → 31¢ | 986.6 | 21¢ → 31¢ | $305.84 +$98.61 (+47.6%) |
Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026? Yes1,154 shares22.8¢ → 26.5¢ | 1,154 | 22.8¢ → 26.5¢ | $305.80 +$42.45 (+16.1%) |
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? Yes1,340.8 shares21.3¢ → 22.5¢ | 1,340.8 | 21.3¢ → 22.5¢ | $301.67 +$16.70 (+5.9%) |
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes692.7 shares42.6¢ → 43.5¢ | 692.7 | 42.6¢ → 43.5¢ | $301.31 +$6.12 (+2.1%) |
Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? Yes525.9 shares42.6¢ → 56.5¢ | 525.9 | 42.6¢ → 56.5¢ | $297.13 +$73.19 (+32.7%) |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? No439 shares69.9¢ → 67.5¢ | 439 | 69.9¢ → 67.5¢ | $296.33 -$10.74 (-3.5%) |
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.2B? No996.5 shares16.2¢ → 29.5¢ | 996.5 | 16.2¢ → 29.5¢ | $293.96 +$132.45 (+82%) |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes1,463.5 shares22¢ → 20¢ | 1,463.5 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $292.70 -$29.89 (-9.3%) |
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? No517.5 shares52.3¢ → 56¢ | 517.5 | 52.3¢ → 56¢ | $289.78 +$19.10 (+7.1%) |
Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? No970.4 shares34¢ → 29.5¢ | 970.4 | 34¢ → 29.5¢ | $286.26 -$43.36 (-13.2%) |
ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30? Yes520.7 shares46.9¢ → 54.5¢ | 520.7 | 46.9¢ → 54.5¢ | $283.77 +$39.77 (+16.3%) |
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? No1,028 shares29¢ → 27.5¢ | 1,028 | 29¢ → 27.5¢ | $282.70 -$15.32 (-5.1%) |
Jumper listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? Yes399.2 shares69.3¢ → 70¢ | 399.2 | 69.3¢ → 70¢ | $279.44 +$2.94 (+1.1%) |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026? No558.6 shares40.2¢ → 50¢ | 558.6 | 40.2¢ → 50¢ | $279.31 +$54.87 (+24.4%) |
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? Yes866.3 shares26.4¢ → 32¢ | 866.3 | 26.4¢ → 32¢ | $277.20 +$48.12 (+21%) |
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election? No701 shares45.9¢ → 39.5¢ | 701 | 45.9¢ → 39.5¢ | $276.88 -$44.95 (-14%) |
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31? Yes688.7 shares31.7¢ → 40¢ | 688.7 | 31.7¢ → 40¢ | $275.46 +$56.91 (+26%) |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? Yes858.6 shares39.6¢ → 32¢ | 858.6 | 39.6¢ → 32¢ | $274.75 -$64.84 (-19.1%) |
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election? No588.4 shares39.3¢ → 46.5¢ | 588.4 | 39.3¢ → 46.5¢ | $273.61 +$42.49 (+18.4%) |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? No763.8 shares35¢ → 35.5¢ | 763.8 | 35¢ → 35.5¢ | $271.16 +$3.84 (+1.4%) |
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat? No280.9 shares95.5¢ → 95¢ | 280.9 | 95.5¢ → 95¢ | $266.68 -$1.54 (-0.6%) |
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%? No655 shares43.7¢ → 40.5¢ | 655 | 43.7¢ → 40.5¢ | $265.26 -$20.75 (-7.3%) |
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? Yes790.2 shares37.8¢ → 33.5¢ | 790.2 | 37.8¢ → 33.5¢ | $264.73 -$34.15 (-11.4%) |
Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election? No433.9 shares62.4¢ → 60.5¢ | 433.9 | 62.4¢ → 60.5¢ | $262.52 -$8.43 (-3.1%) |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30? No968.9 shares23¢ → 27¢ | 968.9 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $261.62 +$39.17 (+17.6%) |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? No643.9 shares34.2¢ → 40.5¢ | 643.9 | 34.2¢ → 40.5¢ | $260.79 +$40.87 (+18.6%) |
Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? No899 shares32.4¢ → 29¢ | 899 | 32.4¢ → 29¢ | $260.72 -$30.76 (-10.6%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | Will FC Kyzylzhar be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League? No · 20 shares at 57¢ | $11.65 |
| Buy | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes · 20 shares at 39¢ | $7.80 |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
| Buy | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13? Yes · 14 shares at 30¢ | $4.20 |
| Buy | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 13? Yes · 20 shares at 5¢ | $1.00 |
| Buy | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13? Yes · 6 shares at 30¢ | $1.80 |
| Buy | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%? Yes · 19.6 shares at 21¢ | $4.12 |
| Buy | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? No · 40 shares at 73.8¢ | $29.91 |
| Buy | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes · 373.5 shares at 20¢ | $77.68 |
| Buy | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes · 60 shares at 34.1¢ | $20.46 |
| Buy | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No · 61 shares at 96.6¢ | $58.93 |
| Buy | Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? No · 20 shares at 54¢ | $11.00 |
| Buy | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? No · 20 shares at 36.9¢ | $7.61 |
| Buy | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 75% or more? Yes · 11.2 shares at 2.7¢ | $0.31 |
| Buy | Will James Cook have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No · 50 shares at 25¢ | $12.97 |
| Buy | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%? Yes · 20 shares at 29¢ | $5.96 |
| Buy | Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? Yes · 20 shares at 18.3¢ | $3.78 |
| Buy | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%? No · 20.8 shares at 65¢ | $13.68 |
| Buy | Will the Cincinnati Bengals have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? No · 20 shares at 22¢ | $4.40 |
| Buy | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No · 10.6 shares at 3.9¢ | $0.41 |
| Buy | Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Yes · 70.3 shares at 34¢ | $24.70 |
| Buy | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes · 12.7 shares at 1.1¢ | $0.15 |
| Buy | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes · 76.1 shares at 34.1¢ | $25.93 |
| Buy | Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October? Yes · 129.9 shares at 5¢ | $6.80 |
| Buy | Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in October? Yes · 5 shares at 46¢ | $2.39 |
| Buy | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No · 27.4 shares at 34.9¢ | $9.56 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%? No · 14 shares at 79.3¢ | $11.19 |
| Buy | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? No · 29.1 shares at 66¢ | $19.19 |
| Buy | Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? Yes · 65.6 shares at 36¢ | $24.22 |
| Buy | Will Brock Purdy have 33.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes · 20 shares at 38¢ | $7.84 |
| Buy | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? No · 40.5 shares at 13.5¢ | $5.46 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 9%-12%? No · 40 shares at 76¢ | $30.40 |
| Buy | Will Bijan Robinson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No · 40 shares at 12¢ | $5.01 |
| Buy | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 6%-9%? No · 61.2 shares at 78¢ | $48.16 |
| Buy | Will CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes · 17.1 shares at 54¢ | $9.21 |
| Buy | $0.99 |
| Buy | Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Yes · 8.5 shares at 5.5¢ | $0.48 |
| Buy | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 13? Yes · 9 shares at 6¢ | $0.54 |
| Buy | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? Yes · 146.5 shares at 19.9¢ | $29.15 |
| Buy | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? No · 10 shares at 75¢ | $7.50 |
| Buy | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? No · 10 shares at 75¢ | $7.50 |
| Buy | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? No · 10 shares at 75¢ | $7.50 |
| Buy | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? No · 10 shares at 73¢ | $7.30 |
| Buy | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes · 32 shares at 0.6¢ | $0.20 |
| Buy | $24.80 |
| Buy | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%? No · 20.1 shares at 78¢ | $15.82 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 20%-25%? Yes · 20 shares at 14.7¢ | $2.94 |
| Buy | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? No · 20.1 shares at 62¢ | $12.45 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes · 20 shares at 53¢ | $10.60 |
| Buy | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 12? Yes · 12.5 shares at 17¢ | $2.12 |
| Buy | Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No · 51 shares at 93.2¢ | $47.53 |