AiBird
Joined Dec 2024
- Positions value
$35,360.75
- Profit/Loss(all time)
+$127,696.93
- Volume traded
$260,669,917.07
11,273 markets traded
- Biggest win
+$23,450.40
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes22,331.1 shares27.1¢ → 15.5¢ | 22,331.1 | 27.1¢ → 15.5¢ | $3,461.33 -$2,600.21 (-42.9%) |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No32,569.2 shares12.6¢ → 10.5¢ | 32,569.2 | 12.6¢ → 10.5¢ | $3,419.76 -$689.88 (-16.8%) |
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes23,033 shares13.7¢ → 10.5¢ | 23,033 | 13.7¢ → 10.5¢ | $2,418.47 -$726.95 (-23.1%) |
 Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? Yes5,717.3 shares35.1¢ → 28.5¢ | 5,717.3 | 35.1¢ → 28.5¢ | $1,629.44 -$379.90 (-18.9%) |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? No53,601.6 shares4.1¢ → 2.7¢ | 53,601.6 | 4.1¢ → 2.7¢ | $1,447.24 -$772.29 (-34.8%) |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No8,210.4 shares18.5¢ → 14.5¢ | 8,210.4 | 18.5¢ → 14.5¢ | $1,190.50 -$329.46 (-21.7%) |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? No1,000 shares75¢ → 74.5¢ | 1,000 | 75¢ → 74.5¢ | $745.00 -$5.00 (-0.7%) |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes6,839.8 shares12¢ → 8.5¢ | 6,839.8 | 12¢ → 8.5¢ | $581.38 -$238.34 (-29.1%) |
 Will Joseph Woll record 4+ shutouts? No649 shares76¢ → 89.5¢ | 649 | 76¢ → 89.5¢ | $580.86 +$87.59 (+17.8%) |
 Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? No728 shares69.6¢ → 77.5¢ | 728 | 69.6¢ → 77.5¢ | $564.20 +$57.28 (+11.3%) |
 Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes5,926.1 shares10¢ → 9.5¢ | 5,926.1 | 10¢ → 9.5¢ | $560.01 -$32.59 (-5.5%) |
 Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? Yes5,147.9 shares13.1¢ → 10.5¢ | 5,147.9 | 13.1¢ → 10.5¢ | $540.53 -$131.54 (-19.6%) |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes3,458.3 shares17.5¢ → 15.5¢ | 3,458.3 | 17.5¢ → 15.5¢ | $536.03 -$68.72 (-11.4%) |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes5,197.3 shares10.6¢ → 10¢ | 5,197.3 | 10.6¢ → 10¢ | $519.73 -$32.03 (-5.8%) |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes6,000 shares7.8¢ → 7¢ | 6,000 | 7.8¢ → 7¢ | $423.00 -$43.95 (-9.4%) |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? No587.9 shares71.6¢ → 70.4¢ | 587.9 | 71.6¢ → 70.4¢ | $413.58 -$7.20 (-1.7%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes4,320.8 shares11.4¢ → 9¢ | 4,320.8 | 11.4¢ → 9¢ | $388.87 -$101.67 (-20.7%) |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes811.3 shares48.3¢ → 42.5¢ | 811.3 | 48.3¢ → 42.5¢ | $344.81 -$47.31 (-12.1%) |
 Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026? Yes379.9 shares82¢ → 85.5¢ | 379.9 | 82¢ → 85.5¢ | $324.81 +$13.30 (+4.3%) |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? Yes642.6 shares33.7¢ → 49.5¢ | 642.6 | 33.7¢ → 49.5¢ | $318.10 +$101.85 (+47.1%) |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026? Yes736.3 shares37.2¢ → 42.5¢ | 736.3 | 37.2¢ → 42.5¢ | $312.92 +$38.82 (+14.2%) |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes31,184.3 shares9.2¢ → 1¢ | 31,184.3 | 9.2¢ → 1¢ | $311.84 -$2,551.11 (-89.1%) |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? No652.6 shares47.5¢ → 47.5¢ | 652.6 | 47.5¢ → 47.5¢ | $309.98 +$0.18 (+0.1%) |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? No612.4 shares44.8¢ → 50.5¢ | 612.4 | 44.8¢ → 50.5¢ | $309.25 +$35.11 (+12.8%) |
 Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes880.4 shares39.7¢ → 34.5¢ | 880.4 | 39.7¢ → 34.5¢ | $303.75 -$45.38 (-13%) |
| 535.2 | 49.1¢ → 54.5¢ | $291.69 +$28.67 (+10.9%) | |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? No1,054.8 shares42.9¢ → 26.5¢ | 1,054.8 | 42.9¢ → 26.5¢ | $279.51 -$172.82 (-38.2%) |
 Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No317.3 shares83.8¢ → 84.5¢ | 317.3 | 83.8¢ → 84.5¢ | $268.08 +$2.08 (+0.8%) |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes1,833.8 shares12¢ → 14.5¢ | 1,833.8 | 12¢ → 14.5¢ | $265.91 +$45.85 (+20.8%) |
 Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? No590.4 shares46.2¢ → 43.5¢ | 590.4 | 46.2¢ → 43.5¢ | $256.81 -$16.21 (-5.9%) |
 Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes1,058.3 shares20.2¢ → 24¢ | 1,058.3 | 20.2¢ → 24¢ | $254.00 +$40.51 (+19%) |
 Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? No415.1 shares63.1¢ → 60.5¢ | 415.1 | 63.1¢ → 60.5¢ | $251.13 -$10.67 (-4.1%) |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes1,217.6 shares22¢ → 20.5¢ | 1,217.6 | 22¢ → 20.5¢ | $249.62 -$18.59 (-6.9%) |
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026? Yes962.6 shares25.9¢ → 25.5¢ | 962.6 | 25.9¢ → 25.5¢ | $245.47 -$4.11 (-1.6%) |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? No926.4 shares32.3¢ → 24.5¢ | 926.4 | 32.3¢ → 24.5¢ | $226.96 -$71.89 (-24.1%) |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? No2,369.9 shares10.6¢ → 9.5¢ | 2,369.9 | 10.6¢ → 9.5¢ | $225.14 -$26.89 (-10.7%) |
 Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes2,109.3 shares10¢ → 10.5¢ | 2,109.3 | 10¢ → 10.5¢ | $221.48 +$10.55 (+5%) |
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? Yes511.1 shares41.9¢ → 42.5¢ | 511.1 | 41.9¢ → 42.5¢ | $217.24 +$3.31 (+1.5%) |
| 379 | 58.5¢ → 54.5¢ | $206.56 -$15.16 (-6.8%) | |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes490.2 shares48.9¢ → 41.5¢ | 490.2 | 48.9¢ → 41.5¢ | $203.44 -$36.45 (-15.2%) |
 Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? No2,297.6 shares18.5¢ → 8.5¢ | 2,297.6 | 18.5¢ → 8.5¢ | $195.29 -$230.90 (-54.2%) |
 Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? Yes617 shares40.4¢ → 29.5¢ | 617 | 40.4¢ → 29.5¢ | $182.00 -$67.42 (-27%) |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes1,423.9 shares12¢ → 12.7¢ | 1,423.9 | 12¢ → 12.7¢ | $180.12 +$9.48 (+5.6%) |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Yes1,706.3 shares9.5¢ → 10.5¢ | 1,706.3 | 9.5¢ → 10.5¢ | $179.16 +$17.73 (+11%) |
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? Yes889.8 shares19.8¢ → 19.5¢ | 889.8 | 19.8¢ → 19.5¢ | $173.51 -$3.07 (-1.7%) |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September? No250 shares69¢ → 67.5¢ | 250 | 69¢ → 67.5¢ | $168.75 -$3.75 (-2.2%) |
 Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes344.3 shares37.6¢ → 49¢ | 344.3 | 37.6¢ → 49¢ | $168.71 +$39.26 (+30.3%) |
Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? No200 shares77¢ → 83.5¢ | 200 | 77¢ → 83.5¢ | $167.00 +$13.00 (+8.4%) |
 Will Riot Games Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award? No240 shares69¢ → 69.5¢ | 240 | 69¢ → 69.5¢ | $166.80 +$1.20 (+0.7%) |
 Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? No1,497 shares20.5¢ → 11¢ | 1,497 | 20.5¢ → 11¢ | $164.67 -$142.78 (-46.4%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Sell | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes · 1,877.5 shares at 13¢ | $244.07 |
| Buy | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No · 1,539.6 shares at 14¢ | $215.55 |
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