US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance46%
- Marco Rubio13%
$713.5M Vol.

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%

$1.3B Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$24.9M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$717.2M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$18.4M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party37%

$7.1M Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)71%
Independent30%

$722.6K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$42.0M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)39%

$4.1M Vol.

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R)>99%
Danny Minton (D)<1%

$117.3K Vol.

Next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly14%
Scott Jennings14%

$124.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%
Mike Rogers (R)30%

$1.9M Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)66%
Jon Husted (R)34%

$1.3M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)73%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$457.5K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4740%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)57%
Joe Lombardo (R)42%

$495.2K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez45%
Jon Ossoff31%

$93.5K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)96%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$52.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)74%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 25%

$586.6K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)93%
Andy Biggs (R)8%

$183.6K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 81%
David Jolly (D)21%

$308.9K Vol.

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance89%
Other6%

$9.9K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)43%

$912.2K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman53%
Karen Bass47%

$15.4M Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$90.6K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)88%
Scott Colom (D)12%

$176.7K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$262.9K Vol.

CO-04 House Election Winner

Lauren Boebert (R)72%
Eileen Laubacher (D)25%

$53.6K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner

Aaron Ford (D)73%
Joe Lombardo (R)28%

$9.8K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

≤46 and ≤19230%
47–49 and 193–20726%

$83.1K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Winner

$41.8K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)5%

$37.0K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)91%
John E. Sununu (R)11%

$365.3K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)92%
Brian Bengs (I)7%

$65.2K Vol.

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Josh Shapiro (D)97%
Stacy Garrity (R)3%

$60.0K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1289%
13-159%

$66.8K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)94%
John James (R)6%

$340.8K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$807.9K Vol.

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?

↑ 70%28%
↑ 75%22%

$8.1K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)87%
Michele Tafoya (R)14%

$278.6K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)88%
Zach Lahn (R)13%

$259.8K Vol.

IA-02 House Election Winner

Lindsay James (D)61%
Joe Mitchell (R)38%

$34.1K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)61%
Susan Collins (R)41%

$2.3M Vol.

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

7%chance

$13.5K Vol.14 days left

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%31%
↓ 30%23%

$91.9K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Winner

Chris McGowan (R)95%
David Dawson (D)<1%

$66.7K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)94%
Lisa Demuth (R)6%

$98.3K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)70%
Tom Perriello (D)31%

$130.7K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19025%
205-20923%

$336.5K Vol.

Nebraska Governor Election Winner

Jim Pillen (R)90%
Lynne Walz (D)10%

$26.3K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$726.2K Vol.

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Raman 0-4%21%
Bass 0-4%16%

$23.8K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Winner

Nick LaLota (R)86%
Chris Gallant (D)14%

$54.3K Vol.

OK-05 House Election Winner

Stephanie Bice (R)88%
Jena Nelson (D)13%

$26.3K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Iowa72%
Texas70%

$114.2K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Winner

Jamie Ager (D)80%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)21%

$57.5K Vol.

OH-10 House Election Winner

$53.0K Vol.

IN-04 House Election Winner

Jim Baird (R)95%
Drew Cox (D)5%

$43.6K Vol.

Illinois Governor Election Winner

JB Pritzker (D)97%
Darren Bailey (R)2%

$16.9K Vol.

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

12%chance

$5.3K Vol.14 days left

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)78%
Christine Drazan (R)23%

$95.5K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D)90%
Jen Kiggans (R)11%

$58.5K Vol.

CA-10 House Election Winner

Mark DeSaulnier (D)96%
Jeff Frese (R)4%

$28.5K Vol.

OH-05 House Election Winner

Bob Latta (R)96%
Brian Shaver (D)5%

$55.5K Vol.

IN-03 House Election Winner

$43.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$918.5K Vol.

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

75%chance

$3.0K Vol.15 days left

CO-03 House Election Winner

Jeff Hurd (R)70%
Dwayne Romero (D)30%

$31.7K Vol.

NC-13 House Election Winner

Brad Knott (R)87%
Paul Barringer (D)13%

$13.3K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95%
Republican Party1%

$45.6K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$113.8K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%20%

$159.7K Vol.

AP calls the House by...?

$5.8K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

62-64%40%
64-66%34%

$4.3K Vol.weekly

Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)34%

$6.7K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Tom Cotton (R) 95%
Hallie Shoffner (D)6%

$40.3K Vol.

Ohio Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep62%
Reps sweep28%

$17.6K Vol.

WY-AL House Election Winner

Chuck Gray (R)95%
Lisa Kinney (D)5%

$51.9K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$96.2K Vol.

AR-02 House Election Winner

French Hill (R)83%
Chris Jones (D)18%

$42.5K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

James Comer70%
Thomas Massie14%

$3.5K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Winner

Jeff Van Drew (R)84%
Zack Mullock (D)16%

$39.4K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Kansas26%
Iowa20%

$24.4K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%21%
↑ 12%14%

$187.6K Vol.

IL-15 House Election Winner

Mary Miller (R)95%
Jennifer Todd (D)5%

$44.8K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

345%
430%

$10.6K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

<1%chance

$229.2K Vol.15 days left

OR-02 House Election Winner

Cliff Bentz (R)95%
Chris Beck (D)5%

$21.9K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

49%chance

$55.3K Vol.2 months left

Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)65%
Mike Rogers (R)36%

$5.7K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D)57%
Rob Wittman (R)44%

$73.2K Vol.

AZ-08 House Election Winner

$16.8K Vol.

OH-13 House Election Winner

Emilia Sykes (D)95%
Carey Coleman (R)1%

$43.9K Vol.

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Alexi Giannoulias71%
Brandon Johnson14%

$8.4K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)6%

$132.0K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$49.2K Vol.

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

18%chance

$15.9K Vol.2 years left

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$243.2K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$66.9K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

$21.5K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)96%
Doug Chapin (D)2%

$98.6K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)70%
Mike Beltran (R)31%

$69.4K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)90%
Mike Rogers (R)6%

$4.6K Vol.

AR-03 House Election Winner

Steve Womack (R)95%
Robb Ryerse (D)4%

$32.9K Vol.

MI-10 House Election Winner

Christina Hines (D)66%
Mike Bouchard (R)35%

$9.4K Vol.

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

90%chance

$5.2K Vol.14 days left

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)96%
Ken Paxton (R)3%

$28.7K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)72%
Jon Husted (R)27%

$8.7K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)97%
Maria Jukic (D)3%

$101.9K Vol.

Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

53%chance

$4.3K Vol.5 months left

RI-02 House Election Winner

$51.2K Vol.

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Michigan26%
Texas25%

$11.1K Vol.

NE-01 House Election Winner

Mike Flood (R)83%
Chris Backemeyer (D)16%

$47.1K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)73%
Adam Hamilton (D)22%

$1.3K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$204.7K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)89%
Cyndi Munson (D)10%

$45.6K Vol.

NC-03 House Election Winner

Greg Murphy (R)83%
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)17%

$27.5K Vol.

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Ty Masterson (R)76%
Cindy Holscher (D)24%

$65.5K Vol.

PA-15 House Election Winner

Glenn Thompson (R)95%
Ray Bilger (D)5%

$30.4K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)97%
Nancy Mannion (D)4%

$64.3K Vol.

HI-02 House Election Winner

Jill Tokuda (D)95%
Brenton Awa (R)4%

$81.5K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Winner

Don Davis (D)72%
Laurie Buckhout (R)28%

$39.1K Vol.

CO-05 House Election Winner

Jeff Crank (R)75%
Jessica Killin (D)26%

$22.6K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)96%
Josh Smead (D)5%

$60.0K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$55.2K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Dems sweep49%
Reps sweep17%

$12.6K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$49.5K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)93%
Chaz Molder (D)8%

$73.7K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)61%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$69.4K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Winner

Greg Landsman (D)94%
Eric Conroy (R)5%

$54.4K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

15%chance

$14.6K Vol.15 days left

2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner

Chris Hill86%
John R. "Buster" Brown11%

$26.4K Vol.

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

76%chance

$3.5K Vol.15 days left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

351%
227%

$25.4K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1139%
1028%

$24.4K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer53%
John Thune25%

$173.7K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Winner

Tom Suozzi (D)90%
Mike LiPetri (R)11%

$48.6K Vol.

FL-26 House Election Winner

$85.8K Vol.

OR-04 House Election Winner

Val Hoyle (D)95%
Monique DeSpain (R)5%

$35.7K Vol.

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate42%
Dems sweep40%

$28.9K Vol.

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

93%chance

$3.4K Vol.14 days left

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)74%
Jonathan Nez (D)26%

$18.1K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.6M Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$39.6K Vol.

CA-23 House Election Winner

$102.7K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$75.2K Vol.

CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party97%
Republican Party1%

$90.8K Vol.

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

22–2336%
24–2528%

$706.5K Vol.

Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep50%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate46%

$15.8K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

57%chance

$2.3K Vol.15 days left

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

$96.9K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Dems sweep66%
Reps MI, Dems MN & NH22%

$14.1K Vol.

WI-04 House Election Winner

Gwen Moore (D)96%
Tim Rogers (R)4%

$37.3K Vol.

NM-01 House Election Winner

$45.6K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)88%
Dan Schwartz (D)13%

$88.7K Vol.

MN-07 House Election Winner

$36.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

James Talarico (D)51%
Ken Paxton (R)48%

$9.3K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Mike Rogers (R)60%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)34%

$7.6K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)85%
Mike Rogers (R)14%

$3.4K Vol.

FL-15 House Election Winner

Laurel Lee (R)95%
Robert People (D)3%

$35.4K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska

Reps sweep33%
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE30%

$2.3K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)

Republican79%
Democrat20%

$2.7K Vol.

OK-02 House Election Winner

Josh Brecheen (R)97%
Brandon Wade (D)2%

$33.8K Vol.

Oklahoma Senate Election Winner

$27.1K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?

57%chance

$494.2 Vol.15 days left

SC-01 House Election Winner

$84.7K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1324%
1223%

$18.5K Vol.

FL-07 House Election Winner

Ryan Elijah (R)68%
Bale Dalton (D)31%

$34.4K Vol.

League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

66%chance

$697.4 Vol.15 days left

Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?

38%chance

$1.6K Vol.15 days left

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.9K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)71%
Shomari Figures (D)31%

$103.1K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)68%
Sam Forstag (D)34%

$92.6K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
12+14%

$13.8K Vol.

FL-11 House Election Winner

Joe Strada (R)91%
James Pericola (D)8%

$32.5K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Winner

Darin LaHood (R)96%
Paul Nolley (D)5%

$69.2K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Winner

Michael Cloud (R)95%
Tanya Lloyd (D)5%

$50.3K Vol.

IN-01 House Election Winner

Frank Mrvan (D)96%
Barb Regnitz (R)2%

$24.3K Vol.

California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

35%chance

$1.9K Vol.15 days left

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

$17.5K Vol.

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

Kamala Harris28%
Jon Ossoff18%

$23.0K Vol.

CA-51 House Election Winner

Sara Jacobs (D)98%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)1%

$34.5K Vol.

Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep82%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate13%

$21.9K Vol.

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui61%
Mai Vang37%

$28.2K Vol.

FL-02 House Election Winner

Austin Rogers (R)93%
Amanda Green (D)6%

$17.1K Vol.

Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

70%chance

$599.6 Vol.15 days left

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab89%
Melissa Hernandez7%

$30.8K Vol.

South Dakota passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

90%chance

$2.2K Vol.15 days left

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove94%
Samantha Mota3%

$44.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+26%

$31.9K Vol.

MI-04 House Election Winner

Bill Huizenga (R)50%
Sean McCann (D)50%

$16.0K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$65.4K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

Cory Booker (D)97%
Justin Murphy (R)3%

$23.2K Vol.

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Democratic Party57%
Republican Party42%

$5.6K Vol.

TX-17 House Election Winner

Pete Sessions (R)96%
Casey Shepard (D)4%

$52.6K Vol.

OH-11 House Election Winner

Shontel Brown (D)99%
Mike Kirchner (R)<1%

$39.1K Vol.

FL-13 House Election Winner

Anna Paulina Luna (R)75%
Leela Gray (D)26%

$13.8K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$53.4K Vol.

CA-09 House Election Winner

Josh Harder (D)97%
John McBride (R)3%

$24.4K Vol.

FL-27 House Election Winner

$39.3K Vol.

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Loranne Ausley54%
Jeremy Matlow46%

$146.1K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)4%

$57.6K Vol.

IL-03 House Election Winner

Delia Ramirez (D)96%
Angel Oakley (R)2%

$51.8K Vol.

Kansas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps sweep56%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate23%

$20.6K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner

James Talarico (D)69%
Ken Paxton (R)25%

$10.1K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)11%

$4.7K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)81%
Scott Singer (R)19%

$36.6K Vol.

CA-18 House Election Winner

Zoe Lofgren (D)98%
Shane Lewis (R)2%

$50.0K Vol.

$47.5K Vol.

Michigan Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep69%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate27%

$20.0K Vol.

OH-15 House Election Winner

Mike Carey (R)73%
Don Leonard (D)26%

$16.6K Vol.

FL-22 House Election Winner

Pia Dandiya (D)55%
Casey Askar (R)47%

$55.3K Vol.

TX-34 House Election Winner

Vicente Gonzalez (D)83%
Eric Flores (R)17%

$11.9K Vol.

FL-05 House Election Winner

$17.7K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.2K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate83%
Reps sweep11%

$10.3K Vol.

Senate control favorite on November 2?

97%chance

$17.3K Vol.14 days left

NM-03 House Election Winner

$53.8K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Winner

Henry Cuellar (D)92%
Tano Tijerina (R)8%

$13.4K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)4%

$53.1K Vol.

CA-26 House Election Winner

Jacqui Irwin (D)96%
Sam Gallucci (R)4%

$36.5K Vol.

CA-30 House Election Winner

Laura Friedman (D)96%
Scott Meyers (R)3%

$35.4K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$238.8K Vol.

CA-02 House Election Winner

Jared Huffman (D)99%
Robin Littau (R)<1%

$21.8K Vol.

NY-12 House Election Winner

Micah Lasher (D)98%
Caroline Shinkle (R)<1%

$34.7K Vol.

GA-01 House Election Winner

Jim Kingston (R)89%
Amanda Hollowell (D)11%

$22.0K Vol.

Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?

12%chance

$774.4 Vol.14 days left

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

72%chance

$1.5K Vol.15 days left

CA-27 House Election Winner

$23.0K Vol.

Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party92%
Republican Party6%

$5.1K Vol.

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

21%chance

$603.7 Vol.15 days left

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

66%chance

$98.0 Vol.15 days left

VA-04 House Election Winner

$42.5K Vol.

Arkansas Governor Election Winner

$11.2K Vol.

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

57%chance

$2.6K Vol.15 days left

IL-13 House Election Winner

Nikki Budzinski (D)95%
Jeff Wilson (R)4%

$21.4K Vol.

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

14%chance

$1.3K Vol.15 days left

2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner

Robert Luna97%
Alex Villanueva2%

$24.6K Vol.

TX-19 House Election Winner

Tom Sell (R)98%
Kyle Rable (D)<1%

$31.3K Vol.

TX-10 House Election Winner

Chris Gober (R)91%
Caitlin Rourk (D)8%

$37.0K Vol.

FL-06 House Election Winner

Randy Fine (R)96%
Eric Yonce (D)1%

$37.4K Vol.

CA-16 House Election Winner

Sam Liccardo (D)97%
Peter Soulé (R)2%

$107.8K Vol.

Illinois Senate Election Winner

Juliana Stratton (D)98%
Don Tracy (R)2%

$36.3K Vol.

Oregon Senate Election Winner

$7.5K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine

Dems sweep30%
Dems OH & ME, Reps IA20%

$22.3K Vol.

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

63%chance

$2.3K Vol.15 days left

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$88.1K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Mike Thompson81%
Eric Jones17%

$15.3K Vol.

GA-14 House Election Winner

Clay Fuller (R)95%
Shawn Harris (D)5%

$19.4K Vol.

CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)

Luz Rivas94%
Angélica María Dueñas5%

$6.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1070%
11+18%

$14.1K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?

85%chance

$632.8 Vol.15 days left

FL-18 House Election Winner

$69.2K Vol.

CA-12 House Election Winner

Democratic Party98%
Republican Party3%

$44.8K Vol.

Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?

83%chance

$256.5 Vol.15 days left

Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?

75%chance

$20.0 Vol.15 days left

Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

Republican Party91%
Democratic Party5%

$3.7K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

115-120m31%
110-115m21%

$36.8K Vol.

TX-07 House Election Winner

$30.7K Vol.

PA-14 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

OK-01 House Election Winner

Mark Tedford (R)98%
John Croisant (D)2%

$43.9K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Winner

Brad Finstad (R)75%
Jake Johnson (D)26%

$56.1K Vol.

VA-07 House Election Winner

$17.0K Vol.

CO-08 House Election Winner

Manny Rutinel (D)84%
Gabe Evans (R)16%

$25.2K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

James Talarico (D)98%
Ken Paxton (R)<1%

$12.3K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$74.1K Vol.

ME-01 House Election Winner

$47.8K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Winner

Brian Babin (R)95%
Rhonda Hart (D)4%

$48.2K Vol.

Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?

Nobody83%
Ken Paxton10%

$6.6K Vol.

Louisiana Senate Election Winner

Julia Letlow (R)93%
Jamie Davis (D)7%

$49.9K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

468%
523%

$17.3K Vol.

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

060%
135%

$9.2K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

085%
114%

$3.0K Vol.

FL-16 House Election Winner

Sydney Gruters (R)81%
Kelly Kirschner (D)18%

$27.4K Vol.

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

30%chance

$4.9K Vol.2 years left

NJ-08 House Election Winner

Rob Menendez (D)96%
Republican Party2%

$49.3K Vol.

CA-41 House Election Winner

$23.0K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?

66%chance

$888.9 Vol.15 days left

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

31%chance

$15.0 Vol.15 days left

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$50.3K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Winner

Gabe Amo (D)>99%
Kellie Keenan (R)<1%

$46.2K Vol.

MA-02 House Election Winner

Jim McGovern (D)96%
Republican Party4%

$74.9K Vol.

IL-08 House Election Winner

Melissa Bean (D)95%
Jennifer Davis (R)5%

$22.1K Vol.

CA-29 House Election Winner

Democratic Party97%
Republican Party3%

$30.9K Vol.

CA-15 House Election Winner

$123.4K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner

Democratic Party>99%
Republican Party<1%

$43.2K Vol.

AL-05 House Election Winner

Dale Strong (R)96%
Andrew Sneed (D)4%

$67.5K Vol.

NY-22 House Election Winner

John Mannion (D)95%
Kailee Buller (R)6%

$33.2K Vol.

Hawaii Governor Election Winner

Josh Green (D)99%
Gary Cordery (R)1%

$17.2K Vol.

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

12%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?

14%chance

$6.2K Vol.14 days left

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$67.4K Vol.

OH-06 House Election Winner

$82.8K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

371%
425%

$20.6K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)96%
John Nagel (R)4%

$73.5K Vol.

NY-04 House Election Winner

$15.6K Vol.

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

Larry Rhoden (R)98%
Dan Ahlers (D)2%

$27.2K Vol.

Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?

42%chance

$2.4K Vol.15 days left

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

Steve Hilton67%
Xavier Becerra33%

$12.2K Vol.

TX-24 House Election Winner

Beth Van Duyne (R)92%
Kevin Burge (D)9%

$70.2K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election: Clark County Winner

Aaron Ford (D)84%
Joe Lombardo (R)14%

$6.6K Vol.

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

8%chance

$7.4K Vol.14 days left

Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

86%chance

$1.7K Vol.5 months left

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts69%
Steven Snell30%

$26.1K Vol.

TX-13 House Election Winner

Ronny Jackson (R)96%
Mark Nair (D)3%

$19.3K Vol.

NY-16 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Winner

$61.0K Vol.

MT-02 House Election Winner

Troy Downing (R)98%
Brian Miller (D)<1%

$68.9K Vol.

CA-42 House Election Winner

Robert Garcia (D)96%
Brian Burley (R)3%

$43.0K Vol.

AZ-07 House Election Winner

Adelita Grijalva (D)97%
Daniel Butierez (R)<1%

$39.8K Vol.

Connecticut Governor Election Winner

Ned Lamont (D)97%
Ryan Fazio (R)3%

$9.6K Vol.

2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner

Daniele Monroe-Moreno81%
Scott Black14%

$7.1K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)90%
Elizabeth Lee (D)12%

$42.3K Vol.

MI-07 House Election Winner

William Lawrence (D)63%
Tom Barrett (R)36%

$38.3K Vol.

NY-18 House Election Winner

$44.9K Vol.

CA-39 House Election Winner

Mark Takano (D)96%
Steve Manos (R)2%

$58.9K Vol.

TN-01 House Election Winner

$27.4K Vol.

NC-05 House Election Winner

Virginia Foxx (R)87%
Chuck Hubbard (D)12%

$46.0K Vol.

Colorado Senate Election Winner

$51.5K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Winner

$18.3K Vol.

NY-02 House Election Winner

Andrew Garbarino (R)85%
Patrick Halpin (D)14%

$19.5K Vol.

PA-10 House Election Winner

Janelle Stelson (D)81%
Scott Perry (R)20%

$12.7K Vol.

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner

Ed Markey (D)98%
John Deaton (R)2%

$50.5K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?

2036%
1930%

$10.4K Vol.

MD-03 House Election Winner

$53.2K Vol.

Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?

30%chance

$105.3 Vol.15 days left

UT-03 House Election Winner

Celeste Maloy (R)96%
Kent Udell (D)3%

$17.0K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)

Rocky Adkins53%
Jacqueline Coleman53%

$0.0 Vol.

Closer Governor Race: California or New York?

42%chance

$163.0 Vol.15 days left

Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?

48%chance

$0.0 Vol.15 days left

West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

91%chance

$1.3K Vol.15 days left

Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

93%chance

$344.7 Vol.5 months left

Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

39%chance

$2.6K Vol.15 days left

Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

56%chance

$255.3 Vol.15 days left

Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas?

37%chance

$525.0 Vol.15 days left

Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

80%chance

$1.5K Vol.15 days left

Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?

41%chance

$704.5 Vol.15 days left

Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?

13%chance

$1.7K Vol.15 days left

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune47%
Chuck Schumer38%

$11.5K Vol.

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

JD Vance97%
Marco Rubio2%

$8.1K Vol.

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

91%chance

$24.4K Vol.15 days left

Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

2%chance

$6.6K Vol.12 days left

House control favorite on November 2?

99%chance

$3.0K Vol.14 days left

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

23%chance

$165.6 Vol.15 days left

Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

39%chance

$2.1K Vol.15 days left

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

45-5452%
Under 4539%

$4.0K Vol.

Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party82%
Republican Party16%

$3.9K Vol.

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party88%
Republican Party13%

$8.0K Vol.

North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner

Anita Earls (D)81%
Sarah Stevens (R)20%

$2.4K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

Angie Nixon (D)99%
Ashley Moody (R)1%

$8.2K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Kent County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)84%
Mike Rogers (R)13%

$3.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Ashley Moody (R)65%
Angie Nixon (D)36%

$11.6K Vol.

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

20%chance

$1.3K Vol.15 days left

Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

88%chance

$1.0K Vol.15 days left

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

39%chance

$693.3 Vol.15 days left

Maine Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep55%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate42%

$21.4K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

934%
825%

$33.6K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

553%
422%

$26.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

835%
731%

$11.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?

545%
420%

$17.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Colorado?

536%
627%

$6.6K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?

164%
232%

$12.5K Vol.

What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

Winchester Model 187357%
Colt Peacemaker18%

$11.1K Vol.

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

54%chance

$1.2K Vol.15 days left

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

J.D. Vance52%
Marco Rubio25%

$21.7K Vol.

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

47%chance

$108.7 Vol.1 year left

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

33%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 years left

Oakland Mayoral Election

Barbara Lee92%
Brenda Grisham5%

$2.2K Vol.

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Democrat81%
Republican20%

$3.8K Vol.

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

70%chance

$5.0K Vol.15 days left

ME-02 House Election Winner

Paul LePage (R)63%
Matthew Dunlap (D)39%

$37.2K Vol.

CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

Lateefah Simon95%
Jamie Joyce3%

$5.8K Vol.

CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)

Scott Wiener80%
Connie Chan21%

$20.3K Vol.

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

38%chance

$3.2K Vol.15 days left

California Clinic Funding Proposition

24%chance

$2.4K Vol.15 days left

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

71%chance

$833.9 Vol.15 days left

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

72%chance

$2.6K Vol.15 days left

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

40%chance

$3.4K Vol.15 days left

California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

79%chance

$3.6K Vol.15 days left

2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner

Michelle Romero83%
Hollie Chadwick18%

$9.4K Vol.

2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner

Kate Marshall90%
Kathleen Taylor8%

$16.3K Vol.

2026 Lexington Mayoral Election Winner

Linda Gorton82%
Raquel Carter16%

$20.8K Vol.

2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner

Letitia Plummer90%
Orlando Sanchez10%

$28.7K Vol.

2026 Dallas County Judge Election Winner

Clay Jenkins95%
Mike Immler4%

$10.8K Vol.

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Tim O'Hare51%
Alisa Simmons48%

$52.7K Vol.

2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner

Ron Nirenberg96%
Patrick Von Dohlen3%

$21.5K Vol.

2026 Denton County Judge Election Winner

Andy Eads88%
Nick Pappas9%

$5.7K Vol.

2026 Fort Bend County Judge Election Winner

Dexter McCoy83%
Daniel Wong17%

$21.0K Vol.

2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

$32.9K Vol.

2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner

Mark Keough96%
James Graf4%

$47.7K Vol.

2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

Mo Ivory95%
Eric J. Tatum4%

$28.3K Vol.

2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner

Esteban "Steve" Guerra91%
Mauro Garza7%

$6.9K Vol.

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Fiona Ma96%
Rakesh Christian2%

$31.8K Vol.

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Michael Echols8%
Misti Cordell3%

$67.3K Vol.

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

91%chance

$1.8K Vol.15 days left

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

11%chance

$7.8K Vol.15 days left

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

99%chance

$958.4 Vol.15 days left

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

4%chance

$4.1K Vol.2 years left

Will Trump nationalize elections?

9%chance

$21.0K Vol.2 months left

WV-02 House Election Winner

Riley Moore (R)97%
Ace Parsi (D)3%

$100.6K Vol.

WV-01 House Election Winner

Carol Miller (R)98%
Vince George (D)2%

$62.6K Vol.

WI-08 House Election Winner

Tony Wied (R)90%
Rick Crosson (D)11%

$30.9K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)93%
Brad Smith (D)7%

$46.3K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$108.2K Vol.

WI-02 House Election Winner

Mark Pocan (D)98%
Republican Party2%

$103.8K Vol.

WA-10 House Election Winner

$37.5K Vol.

WA-09 House Election Winner

Adam Smith (D)97%
Doug Basler (R)2%

$55.5K Vol.

WA-07 House Election Winner

Pramila Jayapal (D)98%
Nirav Sheth (R)2%

$34.6K Vol.

WA-06 House Election Winner

Emily Randall (D)99%
Teresa Fox (R)1%

$45.4K Vol.

WA-04 House Election Winner

$63.1K Vol.