US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio13%
$712.6M Vol.

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$18.3M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$24.5M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Jon Ossoff14%

$1.3B Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party37%

$7.0M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$4.0M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.8M Vol.

Next Press Secretary?

Scott Jennings18%
Anna Kelly12%

$88.1K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$42.0M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$717.0M Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)93%
Andy Biggs (R)9%

$174.5K Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)96%
Todd Achilles (I)4%

$172.3K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)59%
Joe Lombardo (R)43%

$459.5K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)91%
John E. Sununu (R)11%

$362.0K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Winner

Jamie Ager (D)83%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)14%

$52.6K Vol.

CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party97%
Republican Party1%

$90.4K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94%
Republican Party6%

$38.1K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)41%

$2.3M Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$333.7K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$646.4K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$83.5K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$129.2K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)71%
Shomari Figures (D)31%

$103.0K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)83%
Max Miller (R)17%

$109.1K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$255.8K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)4%

$57.7K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.6M Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$67.4K Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$51.7K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)96%
Michael Whatley (R)4%

$231.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$904.0K Vol.

South Carolina Governor Election Winner

$26.7K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$242.7K Vol.

NV-04 House Election Winner

$26.6K Vol.

ME-02 House Election Winner

Paul LePage (R)63%
Matthew Dunlap (D)39%

$37.2K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)13%

$256.0K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)96%
Doug Jones (D)4%

$47.6K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D)55%
Rob Wittman (R)47%

$72.4K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Winner

Don Davis (D)71%
Laurie Buckhout (R)30%

$38.7K Vol.

FL-07 House Election Winner

Ryan Elijah (R)68%
Bale Dalton (D)32%

$34.3K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$75.0K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$724.3K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$804.9K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)5%

$96.3K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D)88%
Jen Kiggans (R)13%

$54.8K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

1%chance

$10.9K Vol.16 days left

NE-02 House Election Winner

$65.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)56%
Adam Hamilton (D)43%

$4.7K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)87%
Michele Tafoya (R)14%

$276.2K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez42%
Jon Ossoff30%

$80.5K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)10%

$232.3K Vol.

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$8.3K Vol.16 days left

AZ-01 House Election Winner

Amish Shah (D)84%
Jay Feely (R)18%

$70.1K Vol.

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?

↑ 75%35%
↑ 70%33%

$5.2K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)68%
Sam Forstag (D)34%

$92.5K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$28.3K Vol.

NH-01 House Election Winner

$52.4K Vol.

NY-22 House Election Winner

John Mannion (D)95%
Kailee Buller (R)5%

$33.2K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 30%38%
↑ 40%31%

$87.6K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

James Comer62%
Thomas Massie14%

$2.8K Vol.

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Ty Masterson (R)76%
Cindy Holscher (D)23%

$65.2K Vol.

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts69%
Steven Snell30%

$26.1K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$440.6K Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic64%
Republican35%

$2.5M Vol.

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Raman 0-4%24%
Bass 0-4%19%

$22.0K Vol.

CT-05 House Election Winner

Jahana Hayes (D)96%
Chris Shea (R)3%

$11.7K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

205-20929%
Below 19024%

$334.3K Vol.

NV-01 House Election Winner

Dina Titus (D)96%
Carrie Buck (R)4%

$35.1K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)64%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$916.0K Vol.

NV-03 House Election Winner

Susie Lee (D)95%
Martin O'Donnell (R)5%

$11.6K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)76%
Jonathan Nez (D)24%

$17.9K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas72%
Iowa72%

$111.5K Vol.

$299.0K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)77%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 24%

$577.0K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska

Reps sweep40%
Dems IA & KS, Ind NE17%

$3.4K Vol.

Maine Governor Election Winner

$45.9K Vol.

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance80%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6%

$2.7K Vol.

FL-26 House Election Winner

$85.4K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Kansas28%
Iowa21%

$23.4K Vol.

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

12%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate51%
Dems sweep49%

$15.6K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$95.4K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

James Talarico (D)52%
Ken Paxton (R)49%

$9.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

085%
114%

$3.0K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 92%
Independent9%

$180.8K Vol.

VA-06 House Election Winner

Ben Cline (R)94%
Beth Macy (D)7%

$121.7K Vol.

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep73%
Reps sweep14%

$62.4K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Winner

Nick LaLota (R)86%
Chris Gallant (D)13%

$52.5K Vol.

FL-27 House Election Winner

$39.2K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)72%
Tom Perriello (D)30%

$128.7K Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party70%
Republican Party25%

$10.6K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$203.9K Vol.

MI-04 House Election Winner

Bill Huizenga (R)50%
Sean McCann (D)50%

$15.9K Vol.

IN-05 House Election Winner

Victoria Spartz (R)81%
J. D. Ford (D)20%

$32.6K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

62-64%36%
64-66%27%

$2.8K Vol.weekly

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Dems sweep47%
Reps sweep21%

$12.3K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)95%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$43.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)72%
Adam Hamilton (D)23%

$856.2 Vol.

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

41%chance

$4.0K Vol.16 days left

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?

14%chance

$6.2K Vol.16 days left

CA-01 House Election Winner

$46.7K Vol.

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

8%chance

$3.3K Vol.14 days left

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Mike Rogers (R)63%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)20%

$7.3K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer55%
John Thune25%

$173.5K Vol.

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

27%chance

$5.2K Vol.16 days left

AK-AL House Election Winner

Republican Party86%
Bill Hill14%

$61.9K Vol.

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$10.2K Vol.16 days left

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Democratic Party57%
Republican Party43%

$5.6K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$39.2K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

84%chance

$84.2K Vol.2 months left

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Ken Calvert53%
Young Kim47%

$16.4K Vol.

Ohio Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep62%
Reps sweep23%

$16.7K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

$17.5K Vol.

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

7%chance

$7.4K Vol.16 days left

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Alexi Giannoulias69%
Brandon Johnson13%

$7.9K Vol.

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov93%
Troy Jackson: ME-Sen79%

$13.5K Vol.

TX-33 House Election Winner

$17.6K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$66.1K Vol.

OH-13 House Election Winner

Emilia Sykes (D)95%
Carey Coleman (R)1%

$42.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

92%chance

$3.2K Vol.16 days left

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%30%
↑ 12%14%

$186.8K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$78.1K Vol.

PA-07 House Election Winner

Bob Brooks (D)87%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)14%

$35.4K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
12+14%

$13.7K Vol.

AR-03 House Election Winner

Steve Womack (R)95%
Robb Ryerse (D)4%

$32.5K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

≤46 and ≤19231%
47–49 and 193–20726%

$78.6K Vol.

Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

85%chance

$1.6K Vol.5 months left

TX-31 House Election Winner

John Carter (R)95%
Justin Early (D)5%

$60.8K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?

171%
230%

$9.0K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$229.0K Vol.17 days left

TX-12 House Election Winner

$58.2K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-695%
7-92%

$105.1K Vol.

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

Charlie Crist90%
Ken Welch7%

$60.8K Vol.

PA-17 House Election Winner

Chris Deluzio (D)96%
Tony Guy (R)2%

$31.1K Vol.

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Bruce Blakeman (R)66%
Kathy Hochul (D)32%

$28.9K Vol.

Oklahoma Senate Election Winner

$27.0K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)92%
Brian Bengs (I)7%

$62.3K Vol.

WA-06 House Election Winner

Emily Randall (D)99%
Teresa Fox (R)1%

$45.4K Vol.

Louisiana Senate Election Winner

Julia Letlow (R)93%
Jamie Davis (D)8%

$49.9K Vol.

FL-12 House Election Winner

$81.5K Vol.

GA-07 House Election Winner

Rich McCormick (R)93%
Tony Kozycki (D)8%

$43.9K Vol.

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate43%
Reps sweep38%

$19.1K Vol.

2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

$32.9K Vol.

2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner

Robert Luna97%
Alex Villanueva2%

$24.6K Vol.

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio28%
Greg Abbott6%

$53.3K Vol.

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

24%chance

$5.4K Vol.16 days left

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

70%chance

$9.8K Vol.17 days left

2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner

Chris Hill87%
John R. "Buster" Brown14%

$25.9K Vol.

Nebraska Governor Election Winner

Jim Pillen (R)90%
Lynne Walz (D)10%

$24.5K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1223%
1323%

$18.5K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$49.3K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)96%
John Nagel (R)4%

$73.5K Vol.

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Angela Gonzales-Torres80%
Jimmy Gomez19%

$33.2K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

19%chance

$14.3K Vol.17 days left

2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner

$8.2K Vol.

OH-10 House Election Winner

$51.5K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)2%

$96.6K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Winner

$84.6K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine

Dems sweep28%
Dems OH & ME, Reps IA19%

$22.3K Vol.

AZ-07 House Election Winner

Adelita Grijalva (D)97%
Daniel Butierez (R)<1%

$39.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep84%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate13%

$21.9K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

46%chance

$2.2K Vol.17 days left

TX-14 House Election Winner

Randy Weber (R)98%
Thurman Bartie (D)2%

$31.9K Vol.

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.9K Vol.

Oakland Mayoral Election

Barbara Lee92%
Brenda Grisham6%

$2.2K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Winner

Chris McGowan (R)96%
David Dawson (D)5%

$56.3K Vol.

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Michael Echols8%
Misti Cordell3%

$67.3K Vol.

CA-24 House Election Winner

Salud Carbajal (D)97%
Bob Smith (R)2%

$52.3K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?

40%chance

$1.6K Vol.17 days left

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)76%
Christine Drazan (R)24%

$94.1K Vol.

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep42%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate35%

$28.7K Vol.

IN-04 House Election Winner

Jim Baird (R)95%
Drew Cox (D)5%

$42.2K Vol.

CA-22 House Election Winner

$27.9K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Winner

$60.8K Vol.

MO-05 House Election Winner

$80.1K Vol.

CA-23 House Election Winner

$102.4K Vol.

FL-11 House Election Winner

Joe Strada (R)91%
James Pericola (D)8%

$32.5K Vol.

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

91%chance

$24.4K Vol.17 days left

FL-17 House Election Winner

$32.8K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.2K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)95%
Josh Smead (D)5%

$59.7K Vol.

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

$113.4K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)93%
Peter Crosby (D)6%

$32.1K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska

Dems TX, Reps KS & NE36%
Reps sweep33%

$2.2K Vol.

IA-02 House Election Winner

Lindsay James (D)61%
Joe Mitchell (R)41%

$31.9K Vol.

CT-01 House Election Winner

Luke Bronin (D)95%
Amy Chai (R)5%

$13.2K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%
Scott Colom (D)10%

$170.6K Vol.

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove94%
Samantha Mota4%

$44.0K Vol.

NY-19 House Election Winner

Josh Riley (D)96%
Peter Oberacker (R)3%

$36.0K Vol.

Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

68%chance

$599.6 Vol.17 days left

Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

39%chance

$2.6K Vol.17 days left

Michigan Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep68%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate27%

$20.0K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

50%chance

$54.7K Vol.2 months left

Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Dems sweep71%
Reps MI, Dems MN & NH20%

$11.0K Vol.

Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?

76%chance

$256.5 Vol.17 days left

NY-02 House Election Winner

Andrew Garbarino (R)85%
Patrick Halpin (D)14%

$19.5K Vol.

AP calls the House by...?

$4.8K Vol.

FL-02 House Election Winner

Austin Rogers (R)93%
Amanda Green (D)7%

$17.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?

545%
420%

$17.3K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Tom Cotton (R) 95%
Hallie Shoffner (D)6%

$39.5K Vol.

CA-10 House Election Winner

Mark DeSaulnier (D)96%
Jeff Frese (R)3%

$27.2K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

934%
825%

$33.6K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Winner

Johnny Garrett (R)95%
Mike Croley (D)5%

$22.6K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Winner

Tom Suozzi (D)90%
Mike LiPetri (R)11%

$47.7K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

$20.5K Vol.

Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

Republican Party91%
Democratic Party5%

$3.7K Vol.

TX-17 House Election Winner

Pete Sessions (R)96%
Casey Shepard (D)4%

$52.6K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)11%

$4.7K Vol.

SC-07 House Election Winner

Russell Fry (R)96%
John Vincent (D)6%

$55.9K Vol.

NY-25 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$50.2K Vol.

MD-06 House Election Winner

$35.1K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Winner

Jeff Van Drew (R)84%
Zack Mullock (D)16%

$38.7K Vol.

CA-26 House Election Winner

Jacqui Irwin (D)96%
Sam Gallucci (R)3%

$36.5K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)<1%

$79.5K Vol.

FL-15 House Election Winner

Laurel Lee (R)96%
Robert People (D)4%

$35.2K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Winner

Bryan Steil (R)63%
Mitchell Berman (D)38%

$18.5K Vol.

CA-09 House Election Winner

Josh Harder (D)97%
John McBride (R)3%

$24.4K Vol.

Illinois Governor Election Winner

JB Pritzker (D)98%
Darren Bailey (R)2%

$15.6K Vol.

IN-01 House Election Winner

Frank Mrvan (D)97%
Barb Regnitz (R)1%

$24.2K Vol.

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Loranne Ausley54%
Jeremy Matlow46%

$146.1K Vol.

NC-13 House Election Winner

Brad Knott (R)88%
Paul Barringer (D)12%

$10.0K Vol.

NY-21 House Election Winner

$97.5K Vol.

Senate control favorite on November 2?

97%chance

$17.3K Vol.16 days left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
1027%

$24.2K Vol.

CA-30 House Election Winner

Laura Friedman (D)96%
Scott Meyers (R)3%

$35.4K Vol.

CA-28 House Election Winner

Judy Chu (D)98%
April Verlato (R)2%

$142.2K Vol.

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

Kamala Harris28%
Jon Ossoff18%

$23.0K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Winner

Darin LaHood (R)96%
Paul Nolley (D)4%

$69.1K Vol.

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

74%chance

$900.4 Vol.17 days left

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)90%
Cyndi Munson (D)10%

$44.7K Vol.

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Texas25%
Michigan24%

$10.7K Vol.

Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

28%chance

$7.5K Vol.17 days left

FL-05 House Election Winner

$17.6K Vol.

CA-18 House Election Winner

Zoe Lofgren (D)98%
Shane Lewis (R)2%

$50.0K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)78%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$66.2K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

115-120m31%
110-115m21%

$36.8K Vol.

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

73%chance

$1.5K Vol.17 days left

Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

2%chance

$6.6K Vol.14 days left

FL-16 House Election Winner

Sydney Gruters (R)82%
Kelly Kirschner (D)18%

$27.4K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$40.0K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?

54%chance

$888.9 Vol.17 days left

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

68%chance

$3.2K Vol.17 days left

CA-16 House Election Winner

Sam Liccardo (D)97%
Peter Soulé (R)2%

$107.8K Vol.

CA-43 House Election Winner

$32.9K Vol.

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

63%chance

$58.0 Vol.17 days left

Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)

Republican80%
Democrat17%

$2.6K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1295%
13-156%

$64.0K Vol.

Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?

30%chance

$105.3 Vol.17 days left

OK-05 House Election Winner

Stephanie Bice (R)87%
Jena Nelson (D)13%

$24.8K Vol.

CA-21 House Election Winner

Jim Costa (D)96%
Kyle Kirkland (R)4%

$39.1K Vol.

NE-01 House Election Winner

Mike Flood (R)83%
Chris Backemeyer (D)16%

$46.7K Vol.

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

JD Vance98%
Marco Rubio2%

$8.1K Vol.

NM-03 House Election Winner

$53.8K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Winner

Jeff Hurd (R)73%
Dwayne Romero (D)28%

$22.5K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)4%

$57.5K Vol.

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

057%
135%

$9.2K Vol.

CA-51 House Election Winner

Sara Jacobs (D)98%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)2%

$34.4K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%21%

$158.0K Vol.

CA-19 House Election Winner

$50.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Ashley Moody (R)65%
Angie Nixon (D)36%

$11.6K Vol.

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

47%chance

$2.6K Vol.17 days left

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Fiona Ma96%
Rakesh Christian2%

$31.8K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)3%

$50.3K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)70%
Mike Beltran (R)31%

$69.0K Vol.

FL-18 House Election Winner

$69.2K Vol.

CA-08 House Election Winner

John Garamendi (D)96%
Rudy Recile (R)4%

$57.3K Vol.

FL-13 House Election Winner

Anna Paulina Luna (R)74%
Leela Gray (D)26%

$13.7K Vol.

CO-04 House Election Winner

Lauren Boebert (R)72%
Eileen Laubacher (D)28%

$48.6K Vol.

Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

39%chance

$2.1K Vol.17 days left

Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?

14%chance

$774.4 Vol.16 days left

League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

76%chance

$493.4 Vol.17 days left

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

30%chance

$603.7 Vol.17 days left

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

23%chance

$15.5K Vol.2 years left

VA-04 House Election Winner

$42.5K Vol.

PA-14 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$112.5K Vol.

Arkansas Governor Election Winner

$11.2K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)60%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$68.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

345%
432%

$10.0K Vol.

WA-01 House Election Winner

Suzan DelBene (D)97%
Mary Silva (R)2%

$46.5K Vol.

TX-38 House Election Winner

Jon Bonck (R)96%
Melissa McDonough (D)4%

$31.9K Vol.

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

14%chance

$1.3K Vol.17 days left

TX-07 House Election Winner

$30.7K Vol.

TX-34 House Election Winner

Vicente Gonzalez (D)83%
Eric Flores (R)17%

$11.8K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$75.6K Vol.

CA-41 House Election Winner

$23.0K Vol.

Kansas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps sweep56%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate23%

$20.5K Vol.

TX-19 House Election Winner

Tom Sell (R)98%
Kyle Rable (D)<1%

$31.3K Vol.

FL-06 House Election Winner

Randy Fine (R)96%
Eric Yonce (D)1%

$37.4K Vol.

CA-33 House Election Winner

$21.5K Vol.

OR-05 House Election Winner

Janelle Bynum (D)96%
Patti Adair (R)3%

$34.3K Vol.

Illinois Senate Election Winner

Juliana Stratton (D)98%
Don Tracy (R)1%

$36.3K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$361.0K Vol.

TX-09 House Election Winner

Alex Mealer (R)84%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)17%

$36.6K Vol.

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

70%chance

$2.3K Vol.17 days left

MI-01 House Election Winner

Jack Bergman (R)88%
Callie Barr (D)11%

$24.0K Vol.

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

Steve Hilton67%
Xavier Becerra33%

$12.2K Vol.

TN-09 House Election Winner

Brent Taylor (R)88%
Justin Pearson (D)13%

$46.8K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.4K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$88.1K Vol.

AZ-09 House Election Winner

Paul Gosar (R)95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)4%

$36.6K Vol.

RI-02 House Election Winner

$50.9K Vol.

CO-08 House Election Winner

Manny Rutinel (D)84%
Gabe Evans (R)16%

$25.2K Vol.

TX-32 House Election Winner

Jace Yarbrough (R)86%
Dan Barrios (D)14%

$47.4K Vol.

Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?

38%chance

$2.4K Vol.17 days left

SD-AL House Election Winner

Marty Jackley (R)95%
Nikki Gronli (D)4%

$37.4K Vol.

TN-07 House Election Winner

$43.3K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Mike Thompson81%
Eric Jones18%

$15.3K Vol.

KY-06 House Election Winner

Ralph Alvarado (R)66%
Zach Dembo (D)35%

$59.1K Vol.

NY-18 House Election Winner

$44.9K Vol.

GA-12 House Election Winner

Rick Allen (R)90%
Ceretta Smith (D)9%

$57.2K Vol.

OH-15 House Election Winner

Mike Carey (R)73%
Don Leonard (D)26%

$16.5K Vol.

US Election

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Blue wave in 2026?

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?