All markets
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
View all outcomes in this event4%chance
- Yes3.5%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.5¢ per share
- No97%
96.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.5¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9¢ | 60 | $1.74 |
| 2.8¢ | 559.72 | $15.67 |
| 2.6¢ | 40 | $1.04 |
| 2.5¢ | 104 | $2.60 |
| 2.2¢ | 403.93 | $8.89 |
| 2.1¢ | 462.07 | $9.70 |
| 2¢ | 1,100 | $22.00 |
| 1.9¢ | 520 | $9.88 |
| 1.7¢ | 800 | $13.60 |
| 1.5¢ | 132.68 | $1.99 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1¢ | 79.99 | $3.28 |
| 4.3¢ | 20 | $0.86 |
| 4.8¢ | 48.99 | $2.35 |
| 4.9¢ | 50.99 | $2.50 |
| 5¢ | 76.74 | $3.84 |
| 5.1¢ | 40.99 | $2.09 |
| 5.2¢ | 41.99 | $2.18 |
| 5.3¢ | 36.72 | $1.95 |
| 5.4¢ | 717.61 | $38.75 |
| 5.5¢ | 172.81 | $9.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.