All markets
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
View all outcomes in this event83%chance
- Yes82.5%
Outcomes
- Yes83%
82.5¢ per share
- No18%
17.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 82.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 82¢ | 935.31 | $766.95 |
| 81¢ | 642.42 | $520.36 |
| 80¢ | 445 | $356.00 |
| 79¢ | 50 | $39.50 |
| 78¢ | 1,960 | $1,528.80 |
| 75¢ | 33.32 | $24.99 |
| 74¢ | 500 | $370.00 |
| 73¢ | 338.02 | $246.75 |
| 72¢ | 1,500 | $1,080.00 |
| 71¢ | 1,224.7 | $869.54 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 83¢ | 3,726.94 | $3,093.36 |
| 84¢ | 1,651.14 | $1,386.96 |
| 85¢ | 9,801.36 | $8,331.16 |
| 86¢ | 14,882.89 | $12,799.29 |
| 87¢ | 10,100 | $8,787.00 |
| 88¢ | 150 | $132.00 |
| 89¢ | 11,050 | $9,834.50 |
| 90¢ | 11,249.99 | $10,124.99 |
| 91¢ | 20,050 | $18,245.50 |
| 92¢ | 20,050 | $18,446.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf