All markets
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
View all outcomes in this event3%chance
- Yes3.3%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.3¢ per share
- No97%
96.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.3¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7¢ | 29.9 | $0.81 |
| 2.6¢ | 1,000 | $26.00 |
| 2.4¢ | 208.74 | $5.01 |
| 2¢ | 3,097.49 | $61.95 |
| 1.2¢ | 416.6 | $5.00 |
| 1.1¢ | 1,254.5 | $13.80 |
| 1¢ | 8,260.75 | $82.61 |
| 0.9¢ | 1,681.32 | $15.13 |
| 0.8¢ | 1,250 | $10.00 |
| 0.7¢ | 1,435.03 | $10.05 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9¢ | 23.64 | $0.92 |
| 4.1¢ | 109.81 | $4.50 |
| 4.2¢ | 49.79 | $2.09 |
| 4.3¢ | 55.14 | $2.37 |
| 4.4¢ | 1,000 | $44.00 |
| 4.6¢ | 6 | $0.28 |
| 4.9¢ | 7 | $0.34 |
| 5¢ | 1,000 | $50.00 |
| 6¢ | 800.87 | $48.05 |
| 7¢ | 1,000 | $70.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.