All markets
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
View all outcomes in this event22%chance
- Yes21.5%
Outcomes
- Yes22%
21.5¢ per share
- No79%
78.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 21.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 21¢ | 80 | $16.80 |
| 20¢ | 65 | $13.00 |
| 17¢ | 20.1 | $3.42 |
| 16¢ | 79.89 | $12.78 |
| 15¢ | 34 | $5.10 |
| 13¢ | 200 | $26.00 |
| 10¢ | 321 | $32.10 |
| 9¢ | 675 | $60.75 |
| 8¢ | 337.24 | $26.98 |
| 7¢ | 520 | $36.40 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 22¢ | 80 | $17.60 |
| 23¢ | 21 | $4.83 |
| 24¢ | 53.26 | $12.78 |
| 35¢ | 20 | $7.00 |
| 45¢ | 52 | $23.40 |
| 46¢ | 34 | $15.64 |
| 56¢ | 20 | $11.20 |
| 63¢ | 130 | $81.90 |
| 65¢ | 20 | $13.00 |
| 74¢ | 80 | $59.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.