All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.4¢ per share
- No>99%
99.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7¢ | 270 | $1.89 |
| 0.6¢ | 218.46 | $1.31 |
| 0.5¢ | 193 | $0.97 |
| 0.4¢ | 495 | $1.98 |
| 0.3¢ | 1,261.53 | $3.78 |
| 0.2¢ | 2,250.48 | $4.50 |
| 0.1¢ | 22,892.99 | $22.89 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 653.55 | $5.23 |
| 0.9¢ | 2,654.99 | $23.89 |
| 1¢ | 204.99 | $2.05 |
| 1.2¢ | 120 | $1.44 |
| 1.3¢ | 184.38 | $2.40 |
| 1.4¢ | 190.43 | $2.67 |
| 1.5¢ | 1,000 | $15.00 |
| 1.6¢ | 5 | $0.08 |
| 1.8¢ | 755 | $13.59 |
| 2¢ | 5 | $0.10 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.