All markets
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
48%chance
- Yes47.9%
Outcomes
- Yes48%
47.9¢ per share
- No52%
52.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 47.9¢Spread 73.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11.3¢ | 98.58 | $11.14 |
| 11.2¢ | 40 | $4.48 |
| 10.8¢ | 30 | $3.24 |
| 10.2¢ | 60 | $6.12 |
| 10.1¢ | 100 | $10.10 |
| 9.8¢ | 60 | $5.88 |
| 5.9¢ | 5 | $0.30 |
| 4.3¢ | 12.62 | $0.54 |
| 4.2¢ | 104.29 | $4.38 |
| 4¢ | 15 | $0.60 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 84.4¢ | 271.66 | $229.28 |
| 84.5¢ | 5.04 | $4.26 |
| 84.6¢ | 5 | $4.23 |
| 85.8¢ | 66 | $56.63 |
| 85.9¢ | 110 | $94.49 |
| 90.4¢ | 20 | $18.08 |
| 91.9¢ | 30 | $27.57 |
| 92.5¢ | 30 | $27.75 |
| 93.9¢ | 60 | $56.34 |
| 98.6¢ | 5 | $4.93 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.