All markets
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
4%chance
- Yes4.5%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.5¢ per share
- No96%
95.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.5¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4¢ | 1,604.91 | $70.62 |
| 4¢ | 151.87 | $6.07 |
| 3.7¢ | 220 | $8.14 |
| 3.5¢ | 112.72 | $3.95 |
| 3.4¢ | 773.9 | $26.31 |
| 3.3¢ | 66.09 | $2.18 |
| 2.4¢ | 266.32 | $6.39 |
| 2.3¢ | 8.4 | $0.19 |
| 2.1¢ | 30 | $0.63 |
| 1.8¢ | 99.99 | $1.80 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5¢ | 199.51 | $8.98 |
| 4.8¢ | 103 | $4.94 |
| 4.9¢ | 292.89 | $14.35 |
| 5¢ | 2,010.5 | $100.53 |
| 5.2¢ | 460.97 | $23.97 |
| 5.4¢ | 14.9 | $0.80 |
| 5.5¢ | 530.93 | $29.20 |
| 6.4¢ | 253.9 | $16.25 |
| 6.5¢ | 213.9 | $13.90 |
| 6.7¢ | 1,000 | $67.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".