All markets
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
8%chance
- Yes7.4%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No92%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.4¢Spread 0.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2¢ | 26.8 | $1.93 |
| 6.9¢ | 5 | $0.35 |
| 5.9¢ | 25 | $1.47 |
| 5.8¢ | 30 | $1.74 |
| 5.6¢ | 30 | $1.68 |
| 5.5¢ | 163 | $8.97 |
| 5.4¢ | 575.72 | $31.09 |
| 5.2¢ | 189.13 | $9.83 |
| 5.1¢ | 160.69 | $8.20 |
| 5¢ | 59.31 | $2.97 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7¢ | 10.7 | $0.82 |
| 8¢ | 39 | $3.12 |
| 8.1¢ | 47 | $3.81 |
| 8.3¢ | 198.59 | $16.48 |
| 8.4¢ | 2,127.81 | $178.74 |
| 8.5¢ | 144.66 | $12.30 |
| 8.6¢ | 51 | $4.39 |
| 8.7¢ | 438.11 | $38.12 |
| 9.1¢ | 121.22 | $11.03 |
| 9.2¢ | 82.4 | $7.58 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".