All markets
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
31%chance
- Yes30.6%
Outcomes
- Yes31%
30.6¢ per share
- No69%
69.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 30.6¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 30.6¢ | 82.23 | $25.16 |
| 29.2¢ | 94.09 | $27.47 |
| 29.1¢ | 125 | $36.38 |
| 28.6¢ | 216.63 | $61.96 |
| 27.8¢ | 850.02 | $236.31 |
| 27.7¢ | 2,619.98 | $725.73 |
| 27.5¢ | 1,811.81 | $498.25 |
| 26.3¢ | 5.47 | $1.44 |
| 25¢ | 1,141.84 | $285.46 |
| 24¢ | 208 | $49.92 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7¢ | 250 | $76.75 |
| 30.8¢ | 684.3 | $210.76 |
| 31.4¢ | 499.99 | $157.00 |
| 31.8¢ | 5 | $1.59 |
| 31.9¢ | 1,609 | $513.27 |
| 32¢ | 1,314.38 | $420.60 |
| 32.1¢ | 375 | $120.38 |
| 32.6¢ | 1,550 | $505.30 |
| 34¢ | 550 | $187.00 |
| 34.5¢ | 50 | $17.25 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".