All markets
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
28%chance
- Yes28.5%
Outcomes
- Yes28%
28.5¢ per share
- No72%
71.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 28.5¢Spread 39¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 35.71 | $3.21 |
| 8¢ | 25 | $2.00 |
| 7¢ | 5 | $0.35 |
| 6¢ | 360 | $21.60 |
| 5¢ | 500 | $25.00 |
| 3¢ | 10.5 | $0.32 |
| 2¢ | 3,380 | $67.60 |
| 1¢ | 110,779.67 | $1,107.80 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 48¢ | 95.09 | $45.64 |
| 49¢ | 200 | $98.00 |
| 87¢ | 30 | $26.10 |
| 95¢ | 30 | $28.50 |
| 96¢ | 8.07 | $7.75 |
| 97¢ | 60 | $58.20 |
| 98¢ | 255 | $249.90 |
| 99¢ | 778.89 | $771.10 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.