All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
6%chance
- Yes5.5%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.5¢ per share
- No95%
94.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 2,029.27 | $101.46 |
| 4¢ | 11,481.61 | $459.26 |
| 3¢ | 26,955.65 | $808.67 |
| 2¢ | 23,417.03 | $468.34 |
| 1¢ | 17,828.11 | $178.28 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 10,318.62 | $619.12 |
| 7¢ | 9,828.63 | $688.00 |
| 8¢ | 8,440.51 | $675.24 |
| 9¢ | 4,012.73 | $361.15 |
| 10¢ | 819.27 | $81.93 |
| 11¢ | 125.59 | $13.81 |
| 12¢ | 2,000 | $240.00 |
| 13¢ | 2,407.69 | $313.00 |
| 14¢ | 2,570.83 | $359.92 |
| 15¢ | 5,603.63 | $840.54 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.