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Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
77%chance
- Yes76.5%
Outcomes
- Yes77%
KES 98.69 per share
- No24%
KES 30.31 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 98.69Spread KES 3.87
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 96.75 | 60 | KES 5,805.00 |
| KES 95.46 | 175 | KES 16,705.50 |
| KES 94.17 | 20 | KES 1,883.40 |
| KES 91.59 | 45.92 | KES 4,205.81 |
| KES 77.40 | 25 | KES 1,935.00 |
| KES 64.50 | 50 | KES 3,225.00 |
| KES 60.63 | 20.68 | KES 1,253.83 |
| KES 59.34 | 10.86 | KES 644.43 |
| KES 41.28 | 10 | KES 412.80 |
| KES 30.96 | 10 | KES 309.60 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 100.62 | 60 | KES 6,037.20 |
| KES 101.91 | 211.78 | KES 21,582.50 |
| KES 103.20 | 43 | KES 4,437.60 |
| KES 105.78 | 50.2 | KES 5,310.16 |
| KES 107.07 | 45.6 | KES 4,882.39 |
| KES 108.36 | 116 | KES 12,569.76 |
| KES 109.65 | 56 | KES 6,140.40 |
| KES 110.94 | 172.07 | KES 19,089.45 |
| KES 112.23 | 395 | KES 44,330.85 |
| KES 113.52 | 533.17 | KES 60,525.46 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Greenville County in the election for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Greenville County.