
96%chance
KES 124.03 per share
KES 4.97 per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 120.36 | 38.34 | KES 4,614.49 |
| KES 115.71 | 100 | KES 11,571.30 |
| KES 75.98 | 60 | KES 4,558.86 |
| KES 75.85 | 160 | KES 12,136.32 |
| KES 75.72 | 400 | KES 30,289.20 |
| KES 48.76 | 30 | KES 1,462.86 |
| KES 48.50 | 10 | KES 485.04 |
| KES 48.25 | 599.99 | KES 28,947.12 |
| KES 28.38 | 349.94 | KES 9,931.30 |
| KES 27.09 | 2,857.14 | KES 77,399.92 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 126.68 | 110 | KES 13,934.58 |
| KES 127.07 | 69.54 | KES 8,836.10 |
| KES 127.84 | 400 | KES 51,135.60 |
| KES 127.97 | 300 | KES 38,390.40 |
| KES 128.87 | 220 | KES 28,351.62 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on October 21, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.