All markets
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 0.58 per share
- No>99%
KES 128.42 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 0.58Spread KES 0.65
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.26 | 215.93 | KES 55.71 |
| KES 0.13 | 345 | KES 44.51 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.90 | 66.01 | KES 59.61 |
| KES 1.03 | 109.94 | KES 113.46 |
| KES 1.16 | 5 | KES 5.81 |
| KES 1.29 | 245.24 | KES 316.36 |
| KES 1.42 | 5 | KES 7.09 |
| KES 1.55 | 24.99 | KES 38.68 |
| KES 1.81 | 40 | KES 72.24 |
| KES 2.06 | 20 | KES 41.28 |
| KES 2.45 | 40 | KES 98.04 |
| KES 2.58 | 205.91 | KES 531.25 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.