All markets
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 0.19 per share
- No>99%
KES 128.81 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.39 | 105 | KES 40.64 |
| KES 0.52 | 111.09 | KES 57.32 |
| KES 0.65 | 70 | KES 45.15 |
| KES 0.90 | 100 | KES 90.30 |
| KES 1.29 | 240.24 | KES 309.91 |
| KES 1.81 | 25 | KES 45.15 |
| KES 2.58 | 225.91 | KES 582.85 |
| KES 3.35 | 5 | KES 16.77 |
| KES 3.87 | 109.56 | KES 424.00 |
| KES 5.03 | 5 | KES 25.16 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.