All markets
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 0.71 per share
- No>99%
KES 128.29 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 0.71Spread KES 0.65
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.39 | 221 | KES 85.53 |
| KES 0.26 | 17,500 | KES 4,515.00 |
| KES 0.13 | 44,276.06 | KES 5,711.61 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.03 | 89.49 | KES 92.35 |
| KES 1.16 | 110.02 | KES 127.73 |
| KES 1.29 | 1,053.43 | KES 1,358.92 |
| KES 1.42 | 100 | KES 141.90 |
| KES 2.58 | 605 | KES 1,560.90 |
| KES 2.71 | 100 | KES 270.90 |
| KES 3.23 | 100 | KES 322.50 |
| KES 3.87 | 30.18 | KES 116.80 |
| KES 4.39 | 5 | KES 21.93 |
| KES 5.93 | 5 | KES 29.67 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.