All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.8%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 0.97 per share
- No>99%
KES 128.03 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 0.97Spread KES 1.16
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.39 | 209.11 | KES 80.93 |
| KES 0.26 | 21,937.86 | KES 5,659.97 |
| KES 0.13 | 11,950.03 | KES 1,541.55 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.55 | 98 | KES 151.70 |
| KES 1.68 | 115 | KES 192.86 |
| KES 1.81 | 31 | KES 55.99 |
| KES 1.93 | 100 | KES 193.50 |
| KES 2.45 | 5 | KES 12.26 |
| KES 2.58 | 100 | KES 258.00 |
| KES 2.97 | 100 | KES 296.70 |
| KES 3.10 | 5 | KES 15.48 |
| KES 3.87 | 100 | KES 387.00 |
| KES 4.90 | 5 | KES 24.51 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.