All markets
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 1.23 per share
- No>99%
KES 127.77 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 1.23Spread KES 0.90
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.77 | 130 | KES 100.62 |
| KES 0.65 | 120 | KES 77.40 |
| KES 0.52 | 135 | KES 69.66 |
| KES 0.39 | 21,925.89 | KES 8,485.32 |
| KES 0.26 | 3,500 | KES 903.00 |
| KES 0.13 | 11,580 | KES 1,493.82 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.68 | 8.8 | KES 14.76 |
| KES 1.81 | 44 | KES 79.46 |
| KES 1.93 | 115 | KES 222.52 |
| KES 2.97 | 5 | KES 14.83 |
| KES 3.10 | 54.57 | KES 168.95 |
| KES 3.23 | 111.82 | KES 360.62 |
| KES 3.61 | 5 | KES 18.06 |
| KES 5.16 | 105 | KES 541.80 |
| KES 6.45 | 105 | KES 677.25 |
| KES 17.80 | 85 | KES 1,513.17 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.