All markets
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
KES 1.29 per share
- No99%
KES 127.71 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 1.29Spread KES 1.03
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.77 | 101 | KES 78.17 |
| KES 0.65 | 241 | KES 155.45 |
| KES 0.52 | 23,297.19 | KES 12,021.35 |
| KES 0.39 | 3,292 | KES 1,274.00 |
| KES 0.26 | 3,500 | KES 903.00 |
| KES 0.13 | 12,591 | KES 1,624.24 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.81 | 228.93 | KES 413.45 |
| KES 1.93 | 105 | KES 203.17 |
| KES 2.32 | 5 | KES 11.61 |
| KES 2.45 | 100 | KES 245.10 |
| KES 3.48 | 5 | KES 17.42 |
| KES 3.61 | 49.57 | KES 179.05 |
| KES 3.74 | 100 | KES 374.10 |
| KES 3.87 | 100 | KES 387.00 |
| KES 4.00 | 5 | KES 20.00 |
| KES 5.42 | 5 | KES 27.09 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.