All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 1.23 per share
- No>99%
KES 127.77 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 1.23Spread KES 0.39
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.03 | 227 | KES 234.26 |
| KES 0.90 | 62 | KES 55.99 |
| KES 0.77 | 20,497.72 | KES 15,865.24 |
| KES 0.65 | 1,400 | KES 903.00 |
| KES 0.52 | 100 | KES 51.60 |
| KES 0.39 | 4,605.01 | KES 1,782.14 |
| KES 0.26 | 5,505.01 | KES 1,420.29 |
| KES 0.13 | 16,530 | KES 2,132.37 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.42 | 228.29 | KES 323.94 |
| KES 1.55 | 11.37 | KES 17.60 |
| KES 3.10 | 106 | KES 328.18 |
| KES 3.23 | 100 | KES 322.50 |
| KES 4.00 | 5 | KES 20.00 |
| KES 4.13 | 55 | KES 227.04 |
| KES 4.26 | 5 | KES 21.29 |
| KES 4.39 | 100 | KES 438.60 |
| KES 5.16 | 100 | KES 516.00 |
| KES 5.29 | 5 | KES 26.45 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.