All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.8%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
KES 2.39 per share
- No98%
KES 126.61 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 2.39Spread KES 1.68
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.55 | 48 | KES 74.30 |
| KES 1.42 | 102 | KES 144.74 |
| KES 1.29 | 572 | KES 737.88 |
| KES 1.16 | 236.41 | KES 274.47 |
| KES 1.03 | 21,569.63 | KES 22,259.86 |
| KES 0.52 | 2,000 | KES 1,032.00 |
| KES 0.39 | 4,300 | KES 1,664.10 |
| KES 0.26 | 5,500 | KES 1,419.00 |
| KES 0.13 | 16,580 | KES 2,138.82 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 3.23 | 72.57 | KES 234.04 |
| KES 3.35 | 12 | KES 40.25 |
| KES 3.48 | 5 | KES 17.42 |
| KES 3.61 | 48.89 | KES 176.59 |
| KES 3.74 | 5 | KES 18.71 |
| KES 3.87 | 100 | KES 387.00 |
| KES 4.13 | 5 | KES 20.64 |
| KES 5.16 | 205 | KES 1,057.80 |
| KES 6.06 | 5 | KES 30.31 |
| KES 9.03 | 100 | KES 903.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.