All markets
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.8%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
KES 2.58 per share
- No98%
KES 126.42 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 2.58Spread KES 1.55
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.81 | 38 | KES 68.63 |
| KES 1.68 | 400 | KES 670.80 |
| KES 1.55 | 1,199 | KES 1,856.05 |
| KES 1.42 | 20,536.75 | KES 29,141.65 |
| KES 1.29 | 5.09 | KES 6.57 |
| KES 0.65 | 200 | KES 129.00 |
| KES 0.52 | 1,200 | KES 619.20 |
| KES 0.39 | 4,500 | KES 1,741.50 |
| KES 0.26 | 6,687 | KES 1,725.25 |
| KES 0.13 | 22,194 | KES 2,863.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 3.35 | 15 | KES 50.31 |
| KES 3.48 | 61 | KES 212.46 |
| KES 3.74 | 17 | KES 63.60 |
| KES 3.87 | 100 | KES 387.00 |
| KES 4.26 | 5 | KES 21.29 |
| KES 4.39 | 20 | KES 87.72 |
| KES 4.52 | 5 | KES 22.58 |
| KES 4.64 | 100 | KES 464.40 |
| KES 5.16 | 105 | KES 541.80 |
| KES 5.93 | 100 | KES 593.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.