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Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
3%chance
- Yes2.9%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
KES 3.74 per share
- No97%
KES 125.26 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 3.74Spread KES 2.06
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 2.71 | 133.01 | KES 360.32 |
| KES 2.58 | 26.69 | KES 68.86 |
| KES 2.45 | 49 | KES 120.10 |
| KES 2.32 | 5 | KES 11.61 |
| KES 2.19 | 49 | KES 107.46 |
| KES 2.06 | 272 | KES 561.41 |
| KES 1.93 | 19,326.84 | KES 37,397.44 |
| KES 1.81 | 5 | KES 9.03 |
| KES 1.68 | 5 | KES 8.39 |
| KES 1.55 | 5 | KES 7.74 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 4.77 | 5 | KES 23.87 |
| KES 5.03 | 5 | KES 25.16 |
| KES 5.16 | 5 | KES 25.80 |
| KES 5.29 | 10 | KES 52.89 |
| KES 5.42 | 54.57 | KES 295.66 |
| KES 5.55 | 100 | KES 554.70 |
| KES 5.81 | 5 | KES 29.03 |
| KES 6.45 | 100 | KES 645.00 |
| KES 6.84 | 100 | KES 683.70 |
| KES 7.10 | 5 | KES 35.48 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.