All markets
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes5.1%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
KES 6.58 per share
- No95%
KES 122.42 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 6.58Spread KES 0.26
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 6.45 | 5 | KES 32.25 |
| KES 4.90 | 282 | KES 1,382.36 |
| KES 4.77 | 5.01 | KES 23.91 |
| KES 4.64 | 6.75 | KES 31.35 |
| KES 3.48 | 29 | KES 101.01 |
| KES 3.35 | 29 | KES 97.27 |
| KES 3.23 | 20 | KES 64.50 |
| KES 2.71 | 70 | KES 189.63 |
| KES 2.58 | 4,462.53 | KES 11,513.33 |
| KES 2.45 | 19,655.71 | KES 48,176.15 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 6.71 | 9.94 | KES 66.68 |
| KES 6.84 | 113.82 | KES 778.19 |
| KES 8.00 | 5 | KES 39.99 |
| KES 8.13 | 100 | KES 812.70 |
| KES 10.19 | 50.32 | KES 512.81 |
| KES 10.32 | 100 | KES 1,032.00 |
| KES 12.77 | 5 | KES 63.86 |
| KES 12.90 | 100 | KES 1,290.00 |
| KES 16.77 | 100 | KES 1,677.00 |
| KES 20.51 | 40 | KES 820.44 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.