All markets
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
6%chance
- Yes5.5%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
KES 7.10 per share
- No95%
KES 121.90 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 7.10Spread KES 1.29
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 6.45 | 126.09 | KES 813.28 |
| KES 5.16 | 853 | KES 4,401.48 |
| KES 3.87 | 335 | KES 1,296.45 |
| KES 2.58 | 27,486.64 | KES 70,915.53 |
| KES 1.29 | 7,581 | KES 9,779.49 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 7.74 | 16 | KES 123.84 |
| KES 9.03 | 595.08 | KES 5,373.57 |
| KES 10.32 | 319.99 | KES 3,302.30 |
| KES 11.61 | 51 | KES 592.11 |
| KES 12.90 | 100 | KES 1,290.00 |
| KES 16.77 | 100 | KES 1,677.00 |
| KES 19.35 | 10 | KES 193.50 |
| KES 20.64 | 100 | KES 2,064.00 |
| KES 21.93 | 112.12 | KES 2,458.79 |
| KES 23.22 | 425 | KES 9,868.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.