All markets
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
9%chance
- Yes8.5%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
KES 10.97 per share
- No92%
KES 118.04 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 10.97Spread KES 1.29
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 10.32 | 60 | KES 619.20 |
| KES 9.03 | 573.16 | KES 5,175.63 |
| KES 7.74 | 135 | KES 1,044.90 |
| KES 6.45 | 298.47 | KES 1,925.13 |
| KES 5.16 | 5,720.28 | KES 29,516.64 |
| KES 3.87 | 17,974.64 | KES 69,561.86 |
| KES 2.58 | 50 | KES 129.00 |
| KES 1.29 | 2,676 | KES 3,452.04 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 11.61 | 166.02 | KES 1,927.49 |
| KES 12.90 | 671.39 | KES 8,660.93 |
| KES 14.19 | 100 | KES 1,419.00 |
| KES 15.48 | 45 | KES 696.60 |
| KES 16.77 | 100 | KES 1,677.00 |
| KES 20.64 | 100 | KES 2,064.00 |
| KES 23.22 | 10 | KES 232.20 |
| KES 24.51 | 533.72 | KES 13,081.48 |
| KES 25.80 | 2,118.78 | KES 54,664.52 |
| KES 27.09 | 45 | KES 1,219.05 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.