All markets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
10%chance
- Yes9.5%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
KES 12.26 per share
- No91%
KES 116.75 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 12.26Spread KES 1.29
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 11.61 | 1,194.66 | KES 13,870.00 |
| KES 10.32 | 532.12 | KES 5,491.48 |
| KES 9.03 | 1,221.55 | KES 11,030.60 |
| KES 7.74 | 1,694.25 | KES 13,113.50 |
| KES 6.45 | 3,747.75 | KES 24,172.99 |
| KES 5.16 | 14,434.46 | KES 74,481.81 |
| KES 2.58 | 50 | KES 129.00 |
| KES 1.29 | 1,979 | KES 2,552.91 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 12.90 | 977.23 | KES 12,606.27 |
| KES 14.19 | 471.01 | KES 6,683.63 |
| KES 15.48 | 205.55 | KES 3,181.91 |
| KES 16.77 | 171 | KES 2,867.67 |
| KES 20.64 | 149.57 | KES 3,087.12 |
| KES 23.22 | 5 | KES 116.10 |
| KES 24.51 | 486.72 | KES 11,929.51 |
| KES 25.80 | 2,148.78 | KES 55,438.52 |
| KES 28.38 | 115 | KES 3,263.70 |
| KES 30.96 | 50 | KES 1,548.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.