All markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
12%chance
- Yes11.5%
Outcomes
- Yes12%
KES 14.84 per share
- No89%
KES 114.17 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 14.84Spread KES 1.29
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 14.19 | 1,178.39 | KES 16,721.35 |
| KES 12.90 | 781.95 | KES 10,087.16 |
| KES 11.61 | 2,406.8 | KES 27,942.95 |
| KES 10.32 | 1,958.71 | KES 20,213.89 |
| KES 9.03 | 268.8 | KES 2,427.26 |
| KES 7.74 | 83.3 | KES 644.74 |
| KES 6.45 | 400 | KES 2,580.00 |
| KES 5.16 | 155 | KES 799.80 |
| KES 3.87 | 1,068.6 | KES 4,135.48 |
| KES 2.58 | 2,111.04 | KES 5,446.48 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 15.48 | 548.66 | KES 8,493.26 |
| KES 16.77 | 975.76 | KES 16,363.50 |
| KES 18.06 | 465 | KES 8,397.90 |
| KES 19.35 | 50 | KES 967.50 |
| KES 20.64 | 5 | KES 103.20 |
| KES 23.22 | 200 | KES 4,644.00 |
| KES 24.51 | 476.72 | KES 11,684.41 |
| KES 25.80 | 2,118.78 | KES 54,664.52 |
| KES 28.38 | 45 | KES 1,277.10 |
| KES 29.67 | 5 | KES 148.35 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.