All markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
13%chance
- Yes12.5%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
KES 16.13 per share
- No88%
KES 112.88 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 16.13Spread KES 1.29
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 15.48 | 394.54 | KES 6,107.48 |
| KES 14.19 | 953 | KES 13,523.07 |
| KES 12.90 | 1,745.95 | KES 22,522.76 |
| KES 11.61 | 448.11 | KES 5,202.56 |
| KES 10.32 | 100 | KES 1,032.00 |
| KES 9.03 | 71.4 | KES 644.74 |
| KES 7.74 | 83.3 | KES 644.74 |
| KES 6.45 | 100 | KES 645.00 |
| KES 5.16 | 155 | KES 799.80 |
| KES 3.87 | 593.6 | KES 2,297.23 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 16.77 | 41 | KES 687.57 |
| KES 18.06 | 532.02 | KES 9,608.28 |
| KES 19.35 | 354.07 | KES 6,851.25 |
| KES 20.64 | 100 | KES 2,064.00 |
| KES 21.93 | 72.5 | KES 1,589.93 |
| KES 23.22 | 300 | KES 6,966.00 |
| KES 24.51 | 476.72 | KES 11,684.41 |
| KES 25.80 | 2,118.78 | KES 54,664.52 |
| KES 29.67 | 53 | KES 1,572.51 |
| KES 32.25 | 120 | KES 3,870.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.