All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
10%chance
- Yes9.5%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
KES 12.26 per share
- No91%
KES 116.75 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 12.26Spread KES 1.29
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 11.61 | 5 | KES 58.05 |
| KES 10.32 | 714.07 | KES 7,369.20 |
| KES 9.03 | 174.06 | KES 1,571.76 |
| KES 7.74 | 160 | KES 1,238.40 |
| KES 6.45 | 1,102.5 | KES 7,111.13 |
| KES 5.16 | 4,900 | KES 25,284.00 |
| KES 3.87 | 200 | KES 774.00 |
| KES 2.58 | 852 | KES 2,198.16 |
| KES 1.29 | 1,472 | KES 1,898.88 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 12.90 | 173.57 | KES 2,239.05 |
| KES 14.19 | 670.21 | KES 9,510.28 |
| KES 15.48 | 218.77 | KES 3,386.56 |
| KES 16.77 | 100 | KES 1,677.00 |
| KES 19.35 | 49 | KES 948.15 |
| KES 20.64 | 100 | KES 2,064.00 |
| KES 23.22 | 10 | KES 232.20 |
| KES 24.51 | 508.81 | KES 12,470.93 |
| KES 25.80 | 2,118.78 | KES 54,664.52 |
| KES 30.96 | 95 | KES 2,941.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.