All markets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
8%chance
- Yes7.6%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
KES 9.80 per share
- No92%
KES 119.20 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 9.80Spread KES 0.77
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 9.42 | 62 | KES 583.85 |
| KES 9.29 | 70 | KES 650.16 |
| KES 8.77 | 19 | KES 166.67 |
| KES 8.64 | 19 | KES 164.22 |
| KES 8.51 | 100 | KES 851.40 |
| KES 8.39 | 5.01 | KES 42.01 |
| KES 8.26 | 5 | KES 41.28 |
| KES 7.74 | 131.1 | KES 1,014.71 |
| KES 4.00 | 78.75 | KES 314.92 |
| KES 3.87 | 200 | KES 774.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 10.19 | 39.04 | KES 397.86 |
| KES 10.32 | 175 | KES 1,806.00 |
| KES 10.84 | 7 | KES 75.85 |
| KES 10.97 | 59.57 | KES 653.19 |
| KES 11.09 | 50 | KES 554.70 |
| KES 11.22 | 50 | KES 561.15 |
| KES 11.61 | 100 | KES 1,161.00 |
| KES 12.26 | 5 | KES 61.28 |
| KES 12.90 | 100 | KES 1,290.00 |
| KES 16.77 | 100 | KES 1,677.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.