All markets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
3%chance
- Yes2.9%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
KES 3.68 per share
- No97%
KES 125.32 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 3.68Spread KES 2.71
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 2.32 | 237.02 | KES 550.36 |
| KES 2.19 | 766 | KES 1,679.84 |
| KES 2.06 | 5,000 | KES 10,320.00 |
| KES 1.68 | 24 | KES 40.25 |
| KES 1.55 | 500 | KES 774.00 |
| KES 1.29 | 1,273.18 | KES 1,642.40 |
| KES 0.65 | 500 | KES 322.50 |
| KES 0.39 | 1,600 | KES 619.20 |
| KES 0.26 | 731 | KES 188.60 |
| KES 0.13 | 6,700 | KES 864.30 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 5.03 | 91.89 | KES 462.30 |
| KES 5.16 | 113.51 | KES 585.71 |
| KES 6.19 | 26.82 | KES 166.07 |
| KES 6.32 | 90 | KES 568.89 |
| KES 6.71 | 100 | KES 670.80 |
| KES 6.97 | 10 | KES 69.66 |
| KES 7.10 | 5 | KES 35.48 |
| KES 7.48 | 5 | KES 37.41 |
| KES 7.61 | 105 | KES 799.16 |
| KES 7.74 | 3,220 | KES 24,922.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.