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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.3%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
KES 1.68 per share
- No99%
KES 127.32 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 1.68Spread KES 1.03
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.16 | 193.11 | KES 224.20 |
| KES 1.03 | 36 | KES 37.15 |
| KES 0.90 | 2,326 | KES 2,100.38 |
| KES 0.77 | 50,005 | KES 38,703.87 |
| KES 0.52 | 4,050 | KES 2,089.80 |
| KES 0.39 | 8,211.6 | KES 3,177.89 |
| KES 0.26 | 7,500 | KES 1,935.00 |
| KES 0.13 | 27,678.18 | KES 3,570.49 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 2.19 | 5 | KES 10.97 |
| KES 2.32 | 15 | KES 34.83 |
| KES 2.45 | 63.28 | KES 155.10 |
| KES 2.58 | 125 | KES 322.50 |
| KES 3.10 | 56 | KES 173.38 |
| KES 3.23 | 100 | KES 322.50 |
| KES 3.35 | 100 | KES 335.40 |
| KES 3.61 | 200 | KES 722.40 |
| KES 3.74 | 7 | KES 26.19 |
| KES 3.87 | 355 | KES 1,373.85 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.