All markets
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.8%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 1.03 per share
- No>99%
KES 127.97 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 1.03Spread KES 0.52
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.77 | 226.11 | KES 175.01 |
| KES 0.65 | 20,000 | KES 12,900.00 |
| KES 0.52 | 97 | KES 50.05 |
| KES 0.39 | 7,097 | KES 2,746.54 |
| KES 0.26 | 5,541 | KES 1,429.58 |
| KES 0.13 | 20,158.21 | KES 2,600.41 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.29 | 210.02 | KES 270.93 |
| KES 1.42 | 57.34 | KES 81.37 |
| KES 1.55 | 1,000 | KES 1,548.00 |
| KES 1.81 | 82 | KES 148.09 |
| KES 1.93 | 3,100 | KES 5,998.50 |
| KES 2.45 | 28 | KES 68.63 |
| KES 2.58 | 866.84 | KES 2,236.45 |
| KES 3.74 | 5 | KES 18.71 |
| KES 3.87 | 3,155 | KES 12,209.85 |
| KES 6.45 | 420 | KES 2,709.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.