All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 0.58 per share
- No>99%
KES 128.42 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 0.58Spread KES 0.90
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.13 | 235.74 | KES 30.41 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.03 | 16.5 | KES 17.03 |
| KES 1.16 | 16.5 | KES 19.16 |
| KES 1.29 | 51 | KES 65.79 |
| KES 3.23 | 63 | KES 203.18 |
| KES 3.35 | 50 | KES 167.70 |
| KES 3.87 | 33.25 | KES 128.68 |
| KES 5.68 | 40 | KES 227.04 |
| KES 6.06 | 18 | KES 109.13 |
| KES 6.45 | 32.75 | KES 211.24 |
| KES 8.26 | 246.58 | KES 2,035.76 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.