All markets
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 0.19 per share
- No>99%
KES 128.81 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 0.19Spread KES 0.13
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.13 | 5,675.12 | KES 732.09 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.26 | 279.79 | KES 72.19 |
| KES 0.39 | 554.59 | KES 214.63 |
| KES 1.16 | 5 | KES 5.81 |
| KES 1.29 | 89.28 | KES 115.17 |
| KES 2.19 | 5 | KES 10.97 |
| KES 2.32 | 50 | KES 116.10 |
| KES 2.45 | 5 | KES 12.26 |
| KES 2.58 | 181.28 | KES 467.70 |
| KES 3.87 | 214.54 | KES 830.27 |
| KES 5.29 | 18.93 | KES 100.12 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.