All markets
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
KES 0.58 per share
- No>99%
KES 128.42 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 0.58Spread KES 0.39
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.39 | 24,728.78 | KES 9,570.04 |
| KES 0.26 | 5,800 | KES 1,496.40 |
| KES 0.13 | 11,418 | KES 1,472.92 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 0.77 | 35 | KES 27.09 |
| KES 0.90 | 15 | KES 13.55 |
| KES 1.03 | 11.02 | KES 11.37 |
| KES 1.16 | 50 | KES 58.05 |
| KES 1.29 | 150 | KES 193.50 |
| KES 1.42 | 1,000 | KES 1,419.00 |
| KES 1.81 | 349.52 | KES 631.23 |
| KES 1.93 | 2,500 | KES 4,837.50 |
| KES 3.87 | 12 | KES 46.44 |
| KES 6.06 | 54 | KES 327.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.