All markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.5%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
KES 1.87 per share
- No99%
KES 127.13 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 1.87Spread KES 0.65
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 1.55 | 112.63 | KES 174.35 |
| KES 1.42 | 132 | KES 187.31 |
| KES 1.29 | 18,723.53 | KES 24,153.35 |
| KES 1.03 | 5 | KES 5.16 |
| KES 0.90 | 714.2 | KES 644.92 |
| KES 0.52 | 5 | KES 2.58 |
| KES 0.39 | 5,534.01 | KES 2,141.66 |
| KES 0.26 | 15,506.03 | KES 4,000.56 |
| KES 0.13 | 21,452 | KES 2,767.31 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 2.19 | 10.05 | KES 22.04 |
| KES 2.32 | 512.02 | KES 1,188.91 |
| KES 2.45 | 5 | KES 12.26 |
| KES 2.58 | 1,500 | KES 3,870.00 |
| KES 3.74 | 5 | KES 18.71 |
| KES 3.87 | 10 | KES 38.70 |
| KES 4.77 | 66 | KES 315.02 |
| KES 6.45 | 991.5 | KES 6,395.18 |
| KES 7.22 | 40 | KES 288.96 |
| KES 9.42 | 314.57 | KES 2,962.31 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.