All markets
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes5.1%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
KES 6.39 per share
- No95%
KES 122.61 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 6.39Spread KES 2.45
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 5.16 | 44 | KES 227.04 |
| KES 5.03 | 230 | KES 1,157.13 |
| KES 4.90 | 12,776.45 | KES 62,630.16 |
| KES 3.35 | 10 | KES 33.54 |
| KES 3.23 | 5.05 | KES 16.29 |
| KES 1.68 | 5 | KES 8.39 |
| KES 1.55 | 421.6 | KES 652.64 |
| KES 1.42 | 504.5 | KES 715.89 |
| KES 1.29 | 510 | KES 657.90 |
| KES 0.77 | 1,000 | KES 774.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 7.61 | 31.25 | KES 237.84 |
| KES 7.74 | 12.5 | KES 96.75 |
| KES 8.64 | 5 | KES 43.22 |
| KES 8.77 | 23 | KES 201.76 |
| KES 8.90 | 50 | KES 445.05 |
| KES 9.16 | 40.33 | KES 369.38 |
| KES 10.58 | 40 | KES 423.12 |
| KES 10.71 | 40 | KES 428.28 |
| KES 11.35 | 60 | KES 681.12 |
| KES 13.55 | 58 | KES 785.61 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.