All markets
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
14%chance
- Yes13.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
KES 17.42 per share
- No87%
KES 111.59 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 17.42Spread KES 3.87
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 15.48 | 437.07 | KES 6,765.84 |
| KES 14.19 | 988.19 | KES 14,022.42 |
| KES 12.90 | 10,678.68 | KES 137,754.97 |
| KES 11.61 | 144 | KES 1,671.84 |
| KES 10.32 | 200 | KES 2,064.00 |
| KES 9.03 | 71.4 | KES 644.74 |
| KES 7.74 | 403.3 | KES 3,121.54 |
| KES 6.45 | 1,130 | KES 7,288.50 |
| KES 5.16 | 165 | KES 851.40 |
| KES 3.87 | 612.6 | KES 2,370.76 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 19.35 | 59.9 | KES 1,159.06 |
| KES 20.64 | 585.56 | KES 12,085.96 |
| KES 21.93 | 389 | KES 8,530.77 |
| KES 23.22 | 165 | KES 3,831.30 |
| KES 24.51 | 174 | KES 4,264.74 |
| KES 25.80 | 123 | KES 3,173.40 |
| KES 28.38 | 148.52 | KES 4,215.00 |
| KES 29.67 | 389 | KES 11,541.63 |
| KES 30.96 | 175 | KES 5,418.00 |
| KES 32.25 | 175 | KES 5,643.75 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.