
34%chance
KES 43.86 per share
KES 85.14 per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 42.57 | 774.07 | KES 32,952.16 |
| KES 41.28 | 1,059.61 | KES 43,740.70 |
| KES 39.99 | 205 | KES 8,197.95 |
| KES 38.70 | 66 | KES 2,554.20 |
| KES 34.83 | 26 | KES 905.58 |
| KES 33.54 | 346 | KES 11,604.84 |
| KES 32.25 | 500 | KES 16,125.00 |
| KES 30.96 | 530.03 | KES 16,409.73 |
| KES 29.67 | 515 | KES 15,280.05 |
| KES 28.38 | 10 | KES 283.80 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 45.15 | 671.68 | KES 30,326.35 |
| KES 46.44 | 724.4 | KES 33,641.14 |
| KES 47.73 | 249 | KES 11,884.77 |
| KES 49.02 | 602.49 | KES 29,534.06 |
| KES 50.31 | 88.34 | KES 4,444.39 |
| KES 54.18 | 105 | KES 5,688.90 |
| KES 56.76 | 5 | KES 283.80 |
| KES 59.34 | 5.99 | KES 355.45 |
| KES 60.63 | 500 | KES 30,315.00 |
| KES 61.92 | 400 | KES 24,768.00 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.