All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
31%chance
- Yes30.5%
Outcomes
- Yes31%
KES 39.99 per share
- No69%
KES 89.01 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 39.35Spread KES 3.87
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 37.41 | 61.26 | KES 2,291.74 |
| KES 36.12 | 45 | KES 1,625.40 |
| KES 34.83 | 72 | KES 2,507.76 |
| KES 33.54 | 703.85 | KES 23,607.13 |
| KES 32.25 | 906 | KES 29,218.50 |
| KES 30.96 | 20 | KES 619.20 |
| KES 28.38 | 307.94 | KES 8,739.34 |
| KES 27.09 | 900 | KES 24,381.00 |
| KES 25.80 | 480 | KES 12,384.00 |
| KES 23.22 | 107 | KES 2,484.54 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 41.28 | 7.54 | KES 311.25 |
| KES 42.57 | 114.53 | KES 4,875.54 |
| KES 43.86 | 63.93 | KES 2,803.97 |
| KES 45.15 | 34.08 | KES 1,538.71 |
| KES 46.44 | 19 | KES 882.36 |
| KES 47.73 | 120 | KES 5,727.60 |
| KES 49.02 | 90 | KES 4,411.80 |
| KES 51.60 | 148.04 | KES 7,638.86 |
| KES 52.89 | 108.75 | KES 5,751.79 |
| KES 54.18 | 113.95 | KES 6,173.81 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.