All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes4.5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
KES 5.81 per share
- No96%
KES 123.20 per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint KES 5.81Spread KES 1.29
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 5.16 | 1,337.46 | KES 6,901.29 |
| KES 3.87 | 1,424.02 | KES 5,510.96 |
| KES 2.58 | 1,731 | KES 4,465.98 |
| KES 1.29 | 3,010 | KES 3,882.90 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| KES 6.45 | 30 | KES 193.50 |
| KES 7.74 | 992.37 | KES 7,680.94 |
| KES 9.03 | 189 | KES 1,706.67 |
| KES 10.32 | 89 | KES 918.48 |
| KES 11.61 | 170.46 | KES 1,979.04 |
| KES 12.90 | 353.56 | KES 4,560.92 |
| KES 14.19 | 112.09 | KES 1,590.56 |
| KES 15.48 | 214.58 | KES 3,321.70 |
| KES 16.77 | 156.8 | KES 2,629.54 |
| KES 18.06 | 292 | KES 5,273.52 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.